Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727629 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +6 636.92₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 100.77₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 10 737.69₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +161.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 37%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 695.26₽ · profit at most +42.43₽ (at most +0.4%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 190.99 → 412.54 ₽
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 3909.78 → 10282.72 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 009 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 009 ₽: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+6 636.92 ₽ +161.8% chance of profit 37%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 31 005.86 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 009 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 9× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+544.04 ₽ +30.7% chance of profit 37%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 9× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+538.71 ₽ +41.4% chance of profit 97%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) · 2 906.63 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+53 572.30 ₽ +94.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 439 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+50 396.56 ₽ +83.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 304 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0606
Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+8 072.55 ₽ +64.6% chance of profit 63%
expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 374 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 8× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1650
190.99 ₽
at 190.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165081f′ (normalized) 0.049180wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 59 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 6 130.90 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1650
3 909.78 ₽
at 434.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165081f′ (normalized) 0.072313wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 50 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs 4 100.77 ₽ +6 636.92 (+161.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.142000, 0.021000, 0.126900, 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 37%
  • Losing outcome 63%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
35 656.74 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 31005.86 you get 0.142000The Phoenix Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 160.00 ₽ (you get 27 095.65)) · buy orders: 1227 sell on Market.CSGO: 25 265.41 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 27 703.31 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 23 983.42 ₽ listings: 113 on CS.Money: ~ 27 193.03 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 25 413.91 ₽ listings: 104
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 823.05 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 1585.26 you get 0.021000The Phoenix Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 742.27 ₽ (you get 1 515.01)) · buy orders: 356 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 601.87 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 756.44 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 1 511.01 ₽ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 1 555.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 550.41 ₽ listings: 39
at a loss
StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
2 096.21 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 1822.79 you get 0.126900The Phoenix Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 865.62 ₽ (you get 1 622.27)) · buy orders: 697 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 940.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 127.82 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 713.16 ₽ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 1 817.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 889.62 ₽ listings: 43
in profit
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
5 451.42 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 4740.37 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 038.20 ₽ (you get 3 511.47)) · buy orders: 155 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 3 569.37 ₽ listings: 17 on CS.Money: ~ 3 888.02 ₽
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 389.77 ₽ 3.33%
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2078.06 you get 0.022400 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 279.67 ₽ (you get 1 982.32)) · buy orders: 585 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 960.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 149.56 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 1 938.44 ₽ listings: 29 on CS.Money: ~ 1 845.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 010.40 ₽ listings: 39
in profit
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
6 425.09 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 5587.03 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 410.40 ₽ (you get 4 704.69)) · buy orders: 528 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 837.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 304.55 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 4 306.03 ₽ listings: 17 on CS.Money: ~ 4 529.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 804.56 ₽ listings: 35
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