Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1727785 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +566.16₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 873.34₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 439.50₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +64.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 49%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 237.50₽ · profit at most −798.01₽ (at most -35.7%) · chance of profit at most 15%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 126.34 → 272.89 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 747.00 → 1964.61 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −586 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −586 ₽: StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New), StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection
+566.16 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 49%
expensive: StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) · 3 652.17 ₽ · chance 15%
profit on prices without salesat least −586 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+11 422.92 ₽ +453.6% chance of profit 52%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 13%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 170 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+8 328.92 ₽ +372.2% chance of profit 42%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 10%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 062 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 3× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+7 422.90 ₽ +196.5% chance of profit 38%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 300 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0859
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+7 359.37 ₽ +194.6% chance of profit 36%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 337 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857
Variant 6 only The Falchion Collection
+921.04 ₽ +78.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) · 6 202.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −588 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 8× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
126.34 ₽
at 126.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 52 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 885.48 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
747.00 ₽
at 83.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 873.34 ₽ +566.16 (+64.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.045500, 0.042000, 0.070000, 0.036400, 0.035000, 0.175700 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 11 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 49%
  • Losing outcome 51%
at a loss
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod
Factory New
851.51 ₽ 15.00%
Steam StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)net 740.44 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 848.18 ₽ (you get 737.54)) · buy orders: 1090
in profit
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution
Factory New
1 340.00 ₽ 15.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)net 1165.22 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader
Factory New
4 200.00 ₽ 15.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)net 3652.17 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 996.85 ₽ (you get 2 605.95)) · buy orders: 147
at a loss
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth
Factory New
860.00 ₽ 15.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)net 747.83 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 662.67 ₽ (you get 576.23)) · buy orders: 795
in profit
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche
Factory New
2 224.45 ₽ 15.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)net 1934.30 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 721.23 ₽ (you get 1 496.72)) · buy orders: 563
at a loss
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner
Factory New
884.06 ₽ 15.00%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)net 768.75 you get 0.045500The Revolver Case Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 786.03 ₽ (you get 683.50)) · buy orders: 409
at a loss
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
627.68 ₽ 2.00%
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 545.81 you get 0.042000 sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 606.26 ₽ (you get 527.18)) · buy orders: 1489
in profit
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
1 542.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 1340.87 you get 0.070000
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
2 054.89 ₽ 2.00%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 1786.86 you get 0.036400 sells 31 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 178.31 ₽ (you get 1 894.18)) · buy orders: 2831
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
655.34 ₽ 2.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 569.86 you get 0.035000 sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 672.24 ₽ (you get 584.55)) · buy orders: 2249
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
190.99 ₽ 2.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 166.08 you get 0.175700 sells ≈64 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work