The Falchion Collection
+ The Revolver Case Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1727808 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+12 090.83₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».9 262.41₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.21 353.24₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+130.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.100%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 24 035.84₽
· profit at most −2 682.60₽
(at most -11.2%) · chance of profit at most 45%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) × 19% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16690.00 → 1490.40 ₽
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) × 99% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.638572.41 → 22545.44 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 262 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 262 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New), StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −9 262 ₽rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1695
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4973
(25% of this wear's listings)
690.00 ₽
at 690.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.497332f′ (normalized) 0.497332wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 12 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 759.73 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 33) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1697
(0% of this wear's listings)
8 572.41 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169793f′ (normalized) 0.041962wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs9 262.41 ₽
+12 090.83
(+130.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.087500, 0.087500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −12 148 ₽
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1683
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 843.54 ₽
at 921.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168370f′ (normalized) 0.168370wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 31 · from 1 782.55 ₽ (float 0.1652) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0763
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
8 399.88 ₽
at 1 399.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076389f′ (normalized) 0.076389wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1683
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 904.98 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168370f′ (normalized) 0.039958wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs12 148.40 ₽
+3 576.38
(+29.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.087500, 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.035000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −10 775 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1663
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 765.31 ₽
at 921.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166395f′ (normalized) 0.166395wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 31 · from 1 782.55 ₽ (float 0.1652) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0757
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
4 199.94 ₽
at 1 399.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075702f′ (normalized) 0.075702wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1663
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 809.96 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166395f′ (normalized) 0.037176wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs10 775.21 ₽
+6 557.70
(+60.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.087500, 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.035000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −9 342 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 843.54 ₽
at 921.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.165299wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 31 · from 1 782.55 ₽ (float 0.1652) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 783.10 ₽
at 891.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.165299wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 55) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 714.94 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.035633wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs9 341.58 ₽
+11 207.59
(+120.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.087500, 0.087500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −9 372 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 765.31 ₽
at 921.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.165299wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 31 · from 1 782.55 ₽ (float 0.1652) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
891.55 ₽
at 891.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.165299wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 55) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 714.94 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165299f′ (normalized) 0.035633wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs9 371.80 ₽
+10 373.31
(+110.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.087500, 0.087500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin
Factory New
36 659.87 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)net 31878.15you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 192.63 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 105.96 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 26 125.73 ₽listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 30 083.99 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 27 357.49 ₽listings: 35
in profit
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade
Factory New
14 301.93 ₽45.00%
price without dealspricier variants exist
SteamStatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)net 12436.46you get 0.035000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 690.98 ₽
(you get 10 166.06)) · buy orders: 380
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 091.63 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 065.39 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 9 093.47 ₽listings: 33
on CS.Money: ~ 9 412.97 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 265.64 ₽listings: 34
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Minimal Wear
20 132.36 ₽5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)net 17506.40you get 0.087500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 072.24 ₽
(you get 13 106.29)) · buy orders: 572
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 757.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 989.03 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 11 467.91 ₽listings: 51
on CS.Money: ~ 12 789.61 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 12 412.72 ₽listings: 49
in profit
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Minimal Wear
12 335.94 ₽5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)net 10726.90you get 0.087500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 487.30 ₽
(you get 9 988.95)) · buy orders: 630
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 185.14 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 167.92 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 9 188.55 ₽listings: 39
on CS.Money: ~ 10 278.97 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 10 093.10 ₽listings: 55
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+11 382.91 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+11 795.92 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1730539
· The Gallery Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 12 850.55₽
· invest 9 221.25₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 955 ₽rare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162740 instead of 0.169793
Craft 1739579
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 12 717.61₽
· invest 9 147.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −9 147 ₽rare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164886 instead of 0.169793
Craft 1732850
· The Genesis Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 12 096.52₽
· invest 9 372.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 845 ₽rare inputspricier variants exist
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
