to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +12 034.74₽

Invest 14 712.12₽

Average return 26 746.86₽

ROI +81.8%

Chance of profit 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 37 582.73₽ · profit at most −10 835.87₽ (at most -28.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 453.16 → 978.83 ₽

SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 760.00 → 1641.60 ₽

SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 13498.96 → 34962.31 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 712 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+12 034.74 ₽ +81.8% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 46 420.08 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 712 ₽

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 819.71 ₽ +29.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

Variant 3 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 725.85 ₽ +19.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1705
7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771

Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 141.07 ₽ +21.2% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1639
2× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
7× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 042.58 ₽ +10.3% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 80%

rare inputs

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+920.42 ₽ +15.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

453.16 ₽

at 453.16

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

760.00 ₽

at 760.00

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

13 498.96 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 712.12 ₽ +12 034.74 (+81.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −10 268 ₽

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

6 304.88 ₽

at 788.11

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

2 275.90 ₽

at 2 275.90

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

1 687.37 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 268.15 ₽ +7 680.83 (+74.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −14 148 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 576.22 ₽

at 788.11

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

760.00 ₽

at 760.00

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

11 811.59 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 147.81 ₽ +11 499.32 (+81.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AWP | Containment Breach

Factory New

53 383.09 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

10 664.08 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

21 167.51 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

17 585.75 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 576.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 873.47 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1732913 · The Genesis Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 12 391.30₽ · invest 14 789.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 956 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1725511 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 12 158.60₽ · invest 14 816.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 916 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1742294 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 12 089.33₽ · invest 15 415.97₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 416 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1719960 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 762.79₽ · invest 15 548.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 975 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165965 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165965 instead of 0.161659
Craft 1733542 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 564.81₽ · invest 17 474.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 048 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.161659
Craft 1730624 · The Gallery Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 463.73₽ · invest 14 713.11₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 598 ₽ float out of reach rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1739642 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 461.49₽ · invest 14 840.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 841 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1742207 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11 439.94₽ · invest 15 369.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 795 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1728810 · The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 362.67₽ · invest 14 739.94₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 699 ₽ float out of reach rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1742183 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 11 310.20₽ · invest 14 641.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 752 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1731512 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 275.69₽ · invest 15 527.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 527 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 1737542 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 11 167.07₽ · invest 16 658.75₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 834 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161694 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161694 instead of 0.161659

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build