The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +9 645.73₽

Invest 14 677.87₽

Average return 24 323.60₽

ROI +65.7%

Chance of profit 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 36 520.13₽ · profit at most −12 196.53₽ (at most -33.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 11199.84 → 29007.59 ₽

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2624.03 → 5667.90 ₽

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 854.00 → 1844.64 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 678 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

+9 645.73 ₽ +65.7% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) · 28 910.80 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 678 ₽

8× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+34 173.73 ₽ +150.9% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

+34 153.56 ₽ +154.6% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+22 012.12 ₽ +53.3% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

+21 173.69 ₽ +51.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0092
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0805
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0092

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+10 427.13 ₽ +86.2% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

11 199.84 ₽

at 1 399.98

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2 624.03 ₽

at 2 624.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

854.00 ₽

at 854.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 677.87 ₽ +9 645.73 (+65.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 718 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

4 199.94 ₽

at 1 399.98

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

5 248.06 ₽

at 2 624.03

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

4 270.00 ₽

at 854.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 718.00 ₽ +8 341.01 (+60.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 172 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

2 799.96 ₽

at 1 399.98

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

5 248.06 ₽

at 2 624.03

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

5 124.00 ₽

at 854.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 172.02 ₽ +8 320.84 (+63.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −12 352 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 624.03 ₽

at 2 624.03

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

6 832.00 ₽

at 854.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 896.31 ₽

at 2 896.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 352.34 ₽ +7 442.08 (+60.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −12 626 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 399.98 ₽

at 1 399.98

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5 248.06 ₽

at 2 624.03

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5 978.00 ₽

at 854.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 626.04 ₽ +8 300.67 (+65.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

33 247.42 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

23 999.00 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

12 421.65 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

31 803.37 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 720.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 307.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1727585 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 9 569.82₽ · invest 16 822.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 823 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.004596
Craft 1727443 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 9 531.13₽ · invest 15 695.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 696 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.004596
Craft 1727300 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 9 499.53₽ · invest 15 042.94₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 043 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.004596
Craft 1727272 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 9 312.58₽ · invest 15 218.42₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 952 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.004596
Craft 1727937 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 9 097.91₽ · invest 15 537.03₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 016 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.004596
Craft 1727663 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 8 977.33₽ · invest 15 346.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 347 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075252; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.004596

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build