Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1727995 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 892.09₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 104.71₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 996.80₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +171.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 887.68₴ · profit at most +109.13₴ (at most +3.8%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 37.68 → 81.39 ₴
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1067.03 → 2806.29 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −801 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −801 ₴: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+1 892.09 ₴ +171.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −801 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 165.02 ₴ +310.3% chance of profit 42%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+395.28 ₴ +93.3% chance of profit 36%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+258.95 ₴ +61.2% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 1 115.31 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+15 951.87 ₴ +154.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 254 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+3 512.06 ₴ +77.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 485 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
37.68 ₴
at 37.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.011271wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new ~0.5 per day, cheapest usually 112.71 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
1 067.03 ₴
at 118.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.010567wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 39
on the market with this float, usually ~19, new ~1.65 per day, cheapest usually 785.03 ₴ · among lots up to 1 729.18 ₴
Set · 10 pcs 1 104.71 ₴ +1 892.09 (+171.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.006383, 0.010638, 0.005532, 0.005319, 0.145425 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
380.10 ₴ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 330.52 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 360.27 ₴ (you get 313.27)) · buy orders: 1828
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
612.27 ₴ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 532.41 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 548.17 ₴ (you get 476.66)) · buy orders: 1772
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
10 323.14 ₴ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 8976.64 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
312.92 ₴ 2.00%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 272.11 you get 0.006383 sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 292.62 ₴ (you get 254.45)) · buy orders: 9026
at a loss
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
897.69 ₴ 2.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 780.59 you get 0.010638 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 861.83 ₴ (you get 749.42)) · buy orders: 2687
at a loss
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
435.68 ₴ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 378.85 you get 0.005532 sells 147 a week sell now to a buy order: 424.90 ₴ (you get 369.48)) · buy orders: 15649
at a loss
worst
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
260.24 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 226.30 you get 0.005319 sells 95 a week sell now to a buy order: 251.53 ₴ (you get 218.72)) · buy orders: 15545
at a loss
Negev | Loudmouth
Minimal Wear
677.06 ₴ 2.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear)net 588.74 you get 0.145425 sells ≈4 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 565.20 ₴ (you get 491.47)) · buy orders: 702
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