Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728129 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +16 143.62₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 18 928.05₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 35 071.67₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +85.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 45 187.40₽ · profit at most −10 115.73₽ (at most -22.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1399.98 → 3023.96 ₽
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 10200.00 → 25602.00 ₽
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 7328.07 → 16561.44 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −18 928 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −18 928 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+16 143.62 ₽ +85.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) · 43 495.65 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −18 928 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757
  • 6× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1665
  • 3× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757
Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+36 678.30 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 50%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+22 012.12 ₽ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+10 427.13 ₽ +86.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+4 433.97 ₽ +48.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 010.45 ₽ +26.3% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) · 8 492.77 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3847
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0757
1 399.98 ₽
at 1 399.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075749f′ (normalized) 0.075749wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1665
10 200.00 ₽
at 1 700.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166528f′ (normalized) 0.143958wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 843.02 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 79 · from 5 571.20 ₽ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0757
7 328.07 ₽
at 2 442.69
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075749f′ (normalized) 0.065621wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 32 · from 5 296.24 ₽ (float 0.0729) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 18 928.05 ₽ +16 143.62 (+85.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.113636264 result 0.113636, 0.070000, 0.113636, 0.113636 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar
Minimal Wear
36 000.00 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear)net 31304.35 you get 0.113636The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30 307.04 ₽ (you get 26 353.94)) · buy orders: 440 sell on Market.CSGO: 33 415.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 36 639.78 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 25 252.87 ₽ listings: 29 on CS.Money: ~ 27 987.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 636.97 ₽ listings: 16
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Factory New
50 020.00 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)net 43495.65 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 921.95 ₽ (you get 23 410.39)) · buy orders: 585 sell on Market.CSGO: 25 470.54 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 27 928.23 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 21 841.96 ₽ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 23 445.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 23 462.62 ₽ listings: 30
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Minimal Wear
20 132.36 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)net 17506.40 you get 0.113636
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 072.24 ₽ (you get 13 106.29)) · buy orders: 572 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 757.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 989.03 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 11 467.91 ₽ listings: 51 on CS.Money: ~ 12 789.61 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 412.72 ₽ listings: 49
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Minimal Wear
12 335.94 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)net 10726.90 you get 0.113636
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 487.30 ₽ (you get 9 988.95)) · buy orders: 630 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 185.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 167.92 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 9 188.55 ₽ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 10 278.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 10 093.10 ₽ listings: 55
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