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The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +547.54₴

Invest 3 797.46₴

Average return 4 345.00₴

ROI +14.4%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 283.95₴ · profit at most −4 938.95₴ (at most -53.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 2514.96 → 6513.75 ₴

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 551.77 → 1191.81 ₴

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 730.74 → 1578.39 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

+547.54 ₴ +14.4% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) · 6 733.15 ₴ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

8× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1662
1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
1× StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+17 951.15 ₴ +153.7% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection

+17 721.69 ₴ +149.4% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+11 330.71 ₴ +52.2% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection

+10 406.91 ₴ +46.1% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0785
2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0785
7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0074

Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+5 608.06 ₴ +96.2% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 165.08 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2 514.96 ₴

at 314.37

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

551.77 ₴

at 551.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

730.74 ₴

at 730.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 797.46 ₴ +547.54 (+14.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −183 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

2 200.59 ₴

at 314.37

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

507.15 ₴

at 507.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 461.47 ₴

at 730.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 169.21 ₴ +361.20 (+8.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −464 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1 886.22 ₴

at 314.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1 014.31 ₴

at 507.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 461.47 ₴

at 730.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 362.00 ₴ +261.12 (+6.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −745 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1 571.85 ₴

at 314.37

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1 521.46 ₴

at 507.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 461.47 ₴

at 730.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 554.78 ₴ +161.04 (+3.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

7 112.68 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

2 667.61 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

4 169.39 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Minimal Wear

7 743.13 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -121.48 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +467.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1728261 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 561.04₴ · invest 3 850.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −23 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163358 instead of 0.166225; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074646 instead of 0.075643
Craft 1728325 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 539.11₴ · invest 3 834.44₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165509 instead of 0.166225; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075394 instead of 0.075643
Craft 1716446 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 538.64₴ · invest 4 197.38₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.166225; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075643
Craft 1717406 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 536.73₴ · invest 3 811.86₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164271 instead of 0.166225; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074964 instead of 0.075643

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build