Crafts · The Fever Collection
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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1728663 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +558.92₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 970.85₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 529.77₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +57.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 93%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 356.17₽ · profit at most −826.40₽ (at most -35.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 639.52 → 1630.78 ₽
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 194.40 → 429.62 ₽
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 136.93 → 295.77 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection
+558.92 ₽ +57.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 1 830.24 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 7× P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 2× Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 567.42 ₽ +196.5% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 238.16 ₽ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection
+2 180.22 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 723.47 ₽ +63.7% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 671.34 ₽ +71.9% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 60%
  • 4× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
P90 | Wave Breaker
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
639.52 ₽
at 91.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074155f′ (normalized) 0.078013wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 388 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
Nova | Rising Sun
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
194.40 ₽
at 97.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074155f′ (normalized) 0.074155wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 127 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
136.93 ₽
at 136.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003636f′ (normalized) 0.005594wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 015 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 213.05 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 970.85 ₽ +558.92 (+57.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.053900, 0.049000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 93%
  • Losing outcome 7%
in profit
AK-47 | Searing Rage
Factory New
1 957.27 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New)net 1701.97 you get 0.070000 sells 100 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 759.48 ₽ (you get 1 529.98)) · buy orders: 2509 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 413.50 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 549.90 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 1 378.24 ₽ listings: 197 on CS.Money: ~ 1 442.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 437.34 ₽ listings: 461
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Shinobu
Factory New
2 104.78 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)net 1830.24 you get 0.070000 sells 93 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 486.54 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 629.98 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 431.35 ₽ listings: 274 on CS.Money: ~ 1 447.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 430.49 ₽ listings: 240
in profit
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
1 455.44 ₽ 30.00%
Steam UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)net 1265.60 you get 0.070000 sells 41 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 385.59 ₽ (you get 1 204.86)) · buy orders: 2183 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 042.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 143.11 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 1 035.61 ₽ listings: 185 on CS.Money: ~ 1 084.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 033.89 ₽ listings: 128
in profit
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
1 404.87 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 1221.63 you get 0.053900The Recoil Collection sells 331 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 381.77 ₽ (you get 1 201.53)) · buy orders: 8906 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 134.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 244.17 · lots 89 on CSFloat: from 1 055.31 ₽ listings: 547 on CS.Money: ~ 1 131.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 121.26 ₽ listings: 777
at a loss
worst
P250 | Visions
Factory New
770.96 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 670.40 you get 0.049000The Recoil Collection sells 115 a week sell now to a buy order: 852.01 ₽ (you get 740.87)) · buy orders: 4816 sell on Market.CSGO: 654.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.00 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 603.89 ₽ listings: 235 on CS.Money: ~ 640.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 650.15 ₽ listings: 233
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
943.86 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)net 820.75 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 345.43 ₽ (you get 1 169.93)) · buy orders: 4694 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 092.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 198.06 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 1 027.90 ₽ listings: 175 on CS.Money: ~ 1 059.59 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 069.87 ₽ listings: 143
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