Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729137 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 238.46₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 855.53₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 093.99₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +66.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 799.67₽ · profit at most −1 705.68₽ (at most -35.5%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 171.00 → 369.36 ₽
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1684.53 → 4430.31 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection
+1 238.46 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 597.18 ₽ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 243.12 ₽ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+1 742.17 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0060
171.00 ₽
at 171.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006068f′ (normalized) 0.007585wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 8
Market history: no data yet
×9
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0769
1 684.53 ₽
at 187.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076934f′ (normalized) 0.076934wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 855.53 ₽ +1 238.46 (+66.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500, 0.052500, 0.051100, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
in profit
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
2 408.03 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 2093.94 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 250.03 ₽ (you get 1 956.54)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 866.85 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 046.99 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 1 860.49 ₽ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 1 944.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 993.26 ₽ listings: 167
in profit
best
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
7 806.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 6788.25 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 309.72 ₽ (you get 7 225.84)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 522.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 152.10 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 440.15 ₽ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 6 100.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 919.83 ₽ listings: 197
at a loss
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
1 323.52 ₽ 30.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 1150.89 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 291.88 ₽ (you get 1 123.37)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 080.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 185.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 025.33 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 1 063.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 097.28 ₽ listings: 139
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.052500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.051100 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.035000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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