Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1729765 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 588.58₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 066.86₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 655.44₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +173.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 421.50₽ · profit at most +233.94₽ (at most +4.3%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 30.52 → 65.92 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 551 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 551 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 588.58 ₽ +173.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 551 ₽
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 201.02 ₽ +326.0% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+745.12 ₽ +133.1% chance of profit 32%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+492.64 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+462.82 ₽ +128.1% chance of profit 54%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 2 271.23 ₽ · chance 18%
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 6 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+30 420.51 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 590 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
30.52 ₽
at 30.52
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.011271wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 611 · good ≈ 15
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 202) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.010567wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 40
on the market with this float, usually ~19, new ~1.25 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 16 of 235 · from 990.21 ₽ (float 0.0067) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 066.86 ₽ +3 588.58 (+173.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.008511, 0.010638, 0.010638, 0.008511, 0.010638 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
Galil AR | Connexion
Factory New
203.46 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New)net 176.92 you get 0.008511 sells 136 a week sell now to a buy order: 213.24 ₽ (you get 185.42)) · buy orders: 22391 sell on Market.CSGO: 161.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 177.29 · lots 40 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 157.61 ₽ listings: 232 on CS.Money: ~ 158.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 164.46 ₽ listings: 230
at a loss
MAC-10 | Allure
Factory New
278.54 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New)net 242.21 you get 0.010638 sells 90 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 232.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 255.44 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 211.58 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 221.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 214.15 ₽ listings: 94
at a loss
MAG-7 | Monster Call
Factory New
320.00 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New)net 278.26 you get 0.010638 sells 69 a week sell now to a buy order: 297.39 ₽ (you get 258.60)) · buy orders: 16312 sell on Market.CSGO: 253.73 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 278.22 · lots 29 on CSFloat: from 222.71 ₽ listings: 177 on CS.Money: ~ 247.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 256.12 ₽ listings: 88
at a loss
worst
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
170.48 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)net 148.24 you get 0.008511 sells 130 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 133.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 146.70 · lots 89 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 152.47 ₽ listings: 188 on CS.Money: ~ 109.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 121.63 ₽ listings: 176
at a loss
Tec-9 | Brother
Factory New
294.08 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New)net 255.72 you get 0.010638 sells 186 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 204.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 224.43 · lots 191 on CSFloat: from 205.58 ₽ listings: 163 on Lis-Skins: from 203.87 ₽ listings: 1387
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