Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729774 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +568.80₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 845.75₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 414.55₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +30.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 426.82₽ · profit at most −2 012.27₽ (at most -45.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 75.99 → 164.14 ₽
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1052.10 → 2640.77 ₽
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 717.66 → 1621.91 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+568.80 ₽ +30.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 742.17 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 525.58 ₽ +42.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 238.46 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Galil AR | Connexion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
75.99 ₽
at 75.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074526f′ (normalized) 0.093157wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 465 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
1 052.10 ₽
at 175.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163012f′ (normalized) 0.163012wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 432 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
717.66 ₽
at 239.22
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163012f′ (normalized) 0.109588wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 103 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 590.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 1 845.75 ₽ +568.80 (+30.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.139999900 result 0.140000, 0.140000, 0.105000, 0.102200, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Minimal Wear
3 083.93 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear)net 2681.68 you get 0.140000The Train 2025 Collection sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 867.76 ₽ (you get 2 493.70)) · buy orders: 1611 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 097.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 300.00 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 2 077.21 ₽ listings: 246 on CS.Money: ~ 2 398.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 207.41 ₽ listings: 499
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Minimal Wear
2 961.50 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear)net 2575.22 you get 0.140000The Train 2025 Collection sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 884.02 ₽ (you get 2 507.84)) · buy orders: 1571 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 369.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 598.57 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 2 266.51 ₽ listings: 146 on CS.Money: ~ 2 319.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 306.77 ₽ listings: 324
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Minimal Wear
564.42 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)net 490.80 you get 0.105000 sells 819 a week sell now to a buy order: 546.01 ₽ (you get 474.79)) · buy orders: 21467 sell on Market.CSGO: 416.62 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 456.83 · lots 158 on CSFloat: from 405.16 ₽ listings: 509 on CS.Money: ~ 443.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 422.29 ₽ listings: 398
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Minimal Wear
514.62 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)net 447.50 you get 0.102200 sells 763 a week sell now to a buy order: 502.03 ₽ (you get 436.54)) · buy orders: 16606 sell on Market.CSGO: 392.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 430.58 · lots 104 on CSFloat: from 393.17 ₽ listings: 472 on CS.Money: ~ 421.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 401.74 ₽ listings: 216
at a loss
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.070000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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