Crafts · The Fracture Collection
₴≈
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≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1729783 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +388.63₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 728.77₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 117.40₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +53.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 821.24₴ · profit at most −703.85₴ (at most -38.6%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 15.99 → 34.54 ₴
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 90.84 → 200.76 ₴
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 621.94 → 1585.94 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −353 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −353 ₴: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+388.62 ₴ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 3 295.33 ₴ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −353 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 153.32 ₴ +326.0% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+390.44 ₴ +133.1% chance of profit 32%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+258.14 ₴ +64.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 1 115.31 ₴ · chance 30%
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+242.52 ₴ +128.1% chance of profit 54%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 1 190.11 ₴ · chance 18%
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 6 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+15 940.16 ₴ +155.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 265 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
15.99 ₴
at 15.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004853f′ (normalized) 0.006934wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 611 · good ≈ 10
Market history: no data yet
×2
MAG-7 | Firestarter
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1659
90.84 ₴
at 45.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165948f′ (normalized) 0.246392wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 104 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0755
621.94 ₴
at 88.85
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075547f′ (normalized) 0.053611wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 728.77 ₴ +388.63 (+53.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.087500, 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
449.78 ₴ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 391.11 you get 0.040125The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 450.46 ₴ (you get 391.70)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 343.35 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 376.48 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 313.74 ₴ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 336.18 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 333.49 ₴ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
3 789.63 ₴ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 3295.33 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 378.17 ₴ (you get 2 937.54)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 860.67 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 136.71 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 2 693.06 ₴ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 2 910.30 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 822.33 ₴ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
1 307.13 ₴ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 1136.63 you get 0.059500The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 302.27 ₴ (you get 1 132.40)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 100.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 206.44 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 1 091.14 ₴ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 1 105.05 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 079.47 ₴ listings: 211
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
134.72 ₴ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 117.15 you get 0.087500The Vanguard Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 111.74 ₴ (you get 97.16)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 95.43 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 104.64 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 92.46 ₴ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 100.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 96.05 ₴ listings: 61
at a loss
Galil AR | Connexion
Factory New
106.61 ₴ 2.00%
Steam Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New)net 92.70 you get 0.070000 sells 136 a week sell now to a buy order: 111.74 ₴ (you get 97.16)) · buy orders: 22391 sell on Market.CSGO: 84.72 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 92.90 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 82.59 ₴ listings: 232 on CS.Money: ~ 83.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 86.18 ₴ listings: 230
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Allure
Minimal Wear
40.65 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear)net 35.34 you get 0.087500 sells 542 a week sell now to a buy order: 48.10 ₴ (you get 41.83)) · buy orders: 26530 sell on Market.CSGO: 33.34 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 36.56 · lots 170 on CSFloat: from 33.22 ₴ listings: 75 on CS.Money: ~ 30.52 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 33.22 ₴ listings: 293
at a loss
MAG-7 | Monster Call
Minimal Wear
51.75 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear)net 45.00 you get 0.087500 sells ≈647 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 53.11 ₴ (you get 46.18)) · buy orders: 31981 sell on Market.CSGO: 38.61 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 42.34 · lots 86 on CSFloat: from 47.13 ₴ listings: 62 on CS.Money: ~ 43.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 39.05 ₴ listings: 106
at a loss
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
89.33 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)net 77.68 you get 0.070000 sells 130 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 70.11 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 76.87 · lots 89 on CSFloat: from 79.89 ₴ listings: 188 on CS.Money: ~ 57.45 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 63.73 ₴ listings: 176
at a loss
Tec-9 | Brother
Minimal Wear
47.65 ₴ 2.00%
Steam Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)net 41.44 you get 0.087500 sells 496 a week sell now to a buy order: 47.10 ₴ (you get 40.96)) · buy orders: 26242 sell on Market.CSGO: 33.40 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 36.63 · lots 120 on CSFloat: from 33.22 ₴ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 30.52 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 31.87 ₴ listings: 186
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