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The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +25 767.47₽

Invest 36 920.15₽

Average return 62 687.62₽

ROI +69.8%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 96 623.91₽ · profit at most −33 936.29₽ (at most -35.1%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1012.94 → 2187.95 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 35907.21 → 94435.96 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −36 630 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+25 767.47 ₽ +69.8% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 128 213.60 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −36 630 ₽

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+36 688.54 ₽ +149.8% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 128 213.60 ₽ · chance 5.0%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+33 883.63 ₽ +157.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+22 203.38 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0797
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085

Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+4 834.55 ₽ +57.4% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
4× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+3 537.79 ₽ +33.3% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 25 326.90 ₽ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
2× StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 012.94 ₽

at 1 012.94

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

35 907.21 ₽

at 3 989.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 920.15 ₽ +25 767.47 (+69.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −28 605 ₽

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

3 038.82 ₽

at 1 012.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

2 500.00 ₽

at 2 500.00

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

23 938.14 ₽

at 3 989.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 476.96 ₽ +21 655.96 (+73.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −23 848 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4 051.76 ₽

at 1 012.94

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

5 000.00 ₽

at 2 500.00

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

15 958.76 ₽

at 3 989.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 010.52 ₽ +20 345.04 (+81.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 923 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1 960.47 ₽

at 653.49

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

6 077.64 ₽

at 1 012.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

2 500.00 ₽

at 2 500.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 538.11 ₽ +5 930.69 (+56.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −10 060 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 306.98 ₽

at 653.49

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

6 077.64 ₽

at 1 012.94

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

5 000.00 ₽

at 2 500.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 384.62 ₽ +9 861.53 (+79.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

147 445.64 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

10 023.81 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

6 682.32 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

17 908.00 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 919.95 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25 352.14 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1741565 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 26 974.51₽ · invest 36 859.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −36 860 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −37 065 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075855 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −37 059 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −36 856 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1740924 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25 735.28₽ · invest 37 237.11₽
profit on prices without salesat least −35 883 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1728061 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25 576.22₽ · invest 38 531.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 531 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1721243 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25 479.00₽ · invest 38 391.73₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 392 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1723274 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25 476.88₽ · invest 37 062.79₽
profit on prices without salesat least −36 142 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −39 185 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −38 235 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −39 088 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −38 398 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −37 969 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −37 244 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −36 828 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −38 961 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −39 335 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −37 643 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −36 933 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)
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profit on prices without salesat least −37 240 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −38 804 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076511
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profit on prices without salesat least −38 863 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1742667 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 24 346.72₽ · invest 39 505.93₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 985 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build