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The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +35 024.03₸

Invest 24 076.86₸

Average return 59 100.90₸

ROI +145.5%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 59 465.56₸ · profit at most −364.67₸ (at most -0.6%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 6671.44 → 15777.97 ₸

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 17405.42 → 43687.60 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 236 ₸

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

6 671.44 ₸

at 1 667.86

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

17 405.42 ₸

at 2 900.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 076.86 ₸ +35 024.03 (+145.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

86 411.11 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

83 593.27 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

60 655.25 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

200 664.29 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

11 377.98 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

10 062.18 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

3 065.78 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30 320.93 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34 320.96 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1740970 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 39 345.78₸ · invest 21 324.49₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 443 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1718190 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 38 470.44₸ · invest 25 144.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −24 331 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1742541 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 996.34₸ · invest 24 451.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 135 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1729040 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 782.08₸ · invest 24 638.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 159 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1724766 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 644.64₸ · invest 22 679.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 541 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1723326 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 454.15₸ · invest 23 573.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 805 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New)
Craft 1731756 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 34 941.64₸ · invest 21 810.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 811 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1742846 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33 840.13₸ · invest 23 856.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 391 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1726802 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33 066.82₸ · invest 17 880.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 143 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1742707 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33 048.58₸ · invest 23 096.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 097 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1736687 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 32 884.92₸ · invest 20 843.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 998 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074886 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1740289 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 30 560.64₸ · invest 20 266.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 206 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074375 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1739432 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 30 249.75₸ · invest 43 559.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −39 964 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074330
Craft 1738444 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 30 097.45₸ · invest 42 880.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −42 881 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074330

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build