Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1730153 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+1 540.26₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».3 216.70₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.4 756.97₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+47.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.70%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 7 935.90₴
· profit at most −3 178.93₴
(at most -40.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 46% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.37951.89 → 2251.21 ₴
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) × 66% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.512264.82 → 5684.69 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 17 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
2× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0059
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4The Phoenix Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0043
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
4× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1620
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
951.89 ₴
at 237.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164868f′ (normalized) 0.164868wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 103 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 71 · from 657.10 ₴ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 264.82 ₴
at 377.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004525f′ (normalized) 0.006754wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 735 · good ≈ 22
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 415.93 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 335 · from 1 328.13 ₴ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 216.70 ₴
+1 540.26
(+47.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.055814, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
10% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1730
(0% of this wear's listings)
475.94 ₴
at 237.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.173039f′ (normalized) 0.173039wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 103 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 71 · from 657.10 ₴ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0780
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 125.38 ₴
at 531.35
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078013f′ (normalized) 0.078013wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 105 · from 1 923.29 ₴ (float 0.0773) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 509.88 ₴
at 377.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007012f′ (normalized) 0.010465wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 735 · good ≈ 25
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 415.93 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 17 of 335 · from 1 293.57 ₴ (float 0.0056) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs4 111.20 ₴
+1 007.45
(+24.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.051135, 0.041812, 0.055814, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
713.92 ₴
at 237.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164868f′ (normalized) 0.164868wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 103 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 71 · from 657.10 ₴ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
USP-S | Jawbreaker
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
202.36 ₴
at 202.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164868f′ (normalized) 0.164868wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 111 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 279.67 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 514 · from 579.01 ₴ (float 0.1581) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 264.82 ₴
at 377.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004525f′ (normalized) 0.006754wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 735 · good ≈ 22
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 415.93 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 335 · from 1 328.13 ₴ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 181.09 ₴
+1 395.03
(+43.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.055814, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
475.94 ₴
at 237.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164851f′ (normalized) 0.164851wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 103 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 71 · from 657.10 ₴ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0751
(3% of this wear's listings)
739.38 ₴
at 246.46
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075165f′ (normalized) 0.112187wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 488 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~17,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 330.88 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 451 · from 477.57 ₴ (float 0.0720) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 887.35 ₴
at 377.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004520f′ (normalized) 0.006746wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 735 · good ≈ 22
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 415.93 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 335 · from 1 328.13 ₴ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 102.67 ₴
+1 292.61
(+41.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.055814, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
237.97 ₴
at 237.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164868f′ (normalized) 0.164868wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 103 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 71 · from 657.10 ₴ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
USP-S | Jawbreaker
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
607.07 ₴
at 202.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164868f′ (normalized) 0.164868wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 111 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 279.67 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 514 · from 579.01 ₴ (float 0.1581) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 264.82 ₴
at 377.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004525f′ (normalized) 0.006754wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 735 · good ≈ 22
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 415.93 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 335 · from 1 328.13 ₴ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 109.86 ₴
+1 104.58
(+35.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.055814, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%
in profit
AK-47 | Inheritance
Factory New
5 611.18 ₴30.00%
SteamAK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New)net 4879.28you get 0.055814The Kilowatt Collectionsells 60 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 704.61 ₴
(you get 4 960.52)) · buy orders: 3192
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 324.84 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 742.14 · lots 61
on CSFloat: from 4 230.35 ₴listings: 294
on CS.Money: ~ 4 754.15 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 558.00 ₴listings: 266
about break-even
worst
AWP | Chrome Cannon
Factory New
3 666.08 ₴30.00%
SteamAWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)net 3187.89you get 0.070000The Kilowatt Collectionsells 34 a weeksell now to a buy order: 3 671.79 ₴
(you get 3 192.86)) · buy orders: 2727
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 054.14 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 348.84 · lots 29
on CSFloat: from 2 702.93 ₴listings: 140
on CS.Money: ~ 3 057.07 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 3 052.58 ₴listings: 155
in profit
Glock-18 | Gold Toof
Factory New
6 045.92 ₴20.00%
SteamGlock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New)net 5257.32you get 0.051135sells 8 a weeksell now to a buy order: 6 060.36 ₴
(you get 5 269.87)) · buy orders: 3092
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 528.60 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 062.06 · lots 40
on CSFloat: from 5 002.36 ₴listings: 88
on CS.Money: ~ 5 157.21 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 5 154.07 ₴listings: 170
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Vaporwave
Factory New
7 390.76 ₴20.00%
SteamM4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)net 6426.74you get 0.041812sells 15 a weeksell now to a buy order: 7 495.41 ₴
(you get 6 517.75)) · buy orders: 3407
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 795.00 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 450.65 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 6 059.39 ₴listings: 171
on CS.Money: ~ 6 887.50 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 381.65 ₴listings: 174
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+802.66 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+1 189.83 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1730401
· The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 835.41₴
· invest 2 934.14₴
sells slowlyfloat out of reachrare inputs
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested), R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.164868
Craft 1729083
· The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1 604.51₴
· invest 2 787.52₴
sells slowlyrare inputs
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165540 instead of 0.164868
Craft 1730154
· The Gallery Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 480.40₴
· invest 3 077.21₴
sells slowly
AWP | Chrome Cannon: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167591 instead of 0.164868; Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): float at most 0.005353 instead of 0.004525
Craft 1717458
· The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1 422.21₴
· invest 3 998.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −426 ₴rare inputs
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165589 instead of 0.164868
Market check
at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
