StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1731001 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+1 465.37₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».13 147.98₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.14 613.35₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+11.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.80%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 33 126.77₽
· profit at most −18 513.42₽
(at most -55.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) × 26% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.212438.14 → 5388.29 ₽
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) × 86% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5910709.84 → 27738.49 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −929 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −929 ₽: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1617
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0091
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
2 438.14 ₽
at 1 219.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074901f′ (normalized) 0.093627wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 709.84 ₽
at 1 338.73
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs13 147.98 ₽
+1 465.37
(+11.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.149999900result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.150000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −744 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0756
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
1 219.07 ₽
at 1 219.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075643f′ (normalized) 0.094554wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1662
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 709.84 ₽
at 1 338.73
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166225f′ (normalized) 0.166225wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0756
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 561.36 ₽
at 2 561.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075643f′ (normalized) 0.075643wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs14 490.27 ₽
+453.21
(+3.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.149999900result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.150000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 131 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 012.94 ₽
at 1 012.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 23 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
2 438.14 ₽
at 1 219.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074901f′ (normalized) 0.093627wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(0% of this wear's listings)
9 371.11 ₽
at 1 338.73
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs12 822.19 ₽
+1 461.03
(+11.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.149999900result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.150000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −3 332 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 025.88 ₽
at 1 012.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 23 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
2 438.14 ₽
at 1 219.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074901f′ (normalized) 0.093627wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(0% of this wear's listings)
8 032.38 ₽
at 1 338.73
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs12 496.40 ₽
+1 456.70
(+11.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.149999900result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.150000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −4 534 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
3 038.82 ₽
at 1 012.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 23 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
2 438.14 ₽
at 1 219.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074901f′ (normalized) 0.093627wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(0% of this wear's listings)
6 693.65 ₽
at 1 338.73
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164093f′ (normalized) 0.164093wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs12 170.61 ₽
+1 452.36
(+11.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.149999900result 0.120000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch
Minimal Wear
19 207.69 ₽40.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear)net 16702.34you get 0.150000The Genesis Collectionsells 9 a weeksell now to a buy order: 18 951.70 ₽
(you get 16 479.73)) · buy orders: 952
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle
Minimal Wear
15 921.60 ₽40.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Minimal Wear)net 13844.87you get 0.150000The Genesis Collectionsells ≈3 a week — 6 of 7 days measuredsell now to a buy order: 15 836.27 ₽
(you get 13 770.66)) · buy orders: 1176
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution
Minimal Wear
14 065.79 ₽10.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)net 12231.12you get 0.120000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 771.30 ₽
(you get 10 235.91)) · buy orders: 728
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Minimal Wear
13 470.59 ₽10.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear)net 11713.56you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 916.42 ₽
(you get 9 492.53)) · buy orders: 754
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week-1 788.06 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+599.31 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1733000
· The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 426.93₽
· invest 17 288.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −8 124 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161786 instead of 0.164093
Craft 1726000
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 1 322.85₽
· invest 12 209.84₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164093
Craft 1732781
· The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 231.05₽
· invest 12 336.03₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.164093
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
