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The Graphic Design Collection + The Nuke Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +4 968.08₽

Invest 13 051.40₽

Average return 18 019.48₽

ROI +38.1%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 32 236.96₽ · profit at most −14 217.48₽ (at most -44.1%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

M249 | Spectrogram (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 200.30 → 494.74 ₽

Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 12851.10 → 31742.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 910 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Graphic Design Collection + The Nuke Collection

+4 968.08 ₽ +38.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 910 ₽

5× M249 | Spectrogram (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
5× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection

+5 893.59 ₽ +37.6% chance of profit 60%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 60%

profit on prices without salesat least −15 560 ₽

6× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
4× SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection

+5 406.55 ₽ +26.1% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 70%

profit on prices without salesat least −20 618 ₽

7× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection

+5 006.10 ₽ +38.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 872 ₽

5× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
5× SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection

+4 978.07 ₽ +38.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 900 ₽

5× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
5× M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection

+3 123.96 ₽ +40.0% chance of profit 30%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −7 603 ₽

3× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
7× P250 | Constructivist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

M249 | Spectrogram

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

200.30 ₽

at 40.06

Steam

×5

Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

12 851.10 ₽

at 2 570.22

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 13 051.40 ₽ +4 968.08 (+38.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Radiation Hazard

Factory New

41 118.82 ₽ 50.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Crossfade

Factory New

426.61 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry

Factory New

241.73 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat

Factory New

398.95 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Halftone Shift

Factory New

236.65 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 216.20 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 373.78 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Graphic Design Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −15 519 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −15 560 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −16 035 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 851 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectrogram (Factory New)
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profit on prices without salesat least −12 858 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 863 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 872 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 880 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 882 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 900 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 483 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 913 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 933 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −12 947 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 624 ₽ rare inputs

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Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectrogram (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Graphic Design Collection + The Nuke Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build