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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +453.83₴

Invest 269.68₴

Average return 723.51₴

ROI +168.3%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 619.48₴ · profit at most +104.03₴ (at most +16.8%) · chance of profit at most 52%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 4.51 → 10.20 ₴

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 104.32 → 261.83 ₴

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 160.86 → 347.45 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

+453.83 ₴ +168.3% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 1 756.90 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

3× PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
1× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+555.14 ₴ +62.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Tornado (Factory New) · 4 834.99 ₴ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+524.42 ₴ +215.2% chance of profit 75%

expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 1 756.90 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

7× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+469.30 ₴ +169.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 1 756.90 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

6× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
1× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
3× Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+450.74 ₴ +167.3% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 1 756.90 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

6× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
3× Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 6 The Office Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+10 204.93 ₴ +233.9% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 17%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 354 ₴

5× PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4.51 ₴

at 1.50

Steam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

104.32 ₴

at 17.39

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

160.86 ₴

at 160.86

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 269.68 ₴ +453.83 (+168.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

1 255.77 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Factory New

2 020.44 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Factory New

876.87 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

566.03 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

11.35 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

12.05 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

63.37 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

8.98 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

7.45 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +284.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +372.14 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1738904 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 469.30₴ · invest 277.43₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 1704662 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 455.45₴ · invest 275.31₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 1713841 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 451.65₴ · invest 269.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 1738861 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 450.74₴ · invest 269.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074272; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060517 instead of 0.060534
Craft 1711415 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 450.49₴ · invest 304.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074272; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060517 instead of 0.060534

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build