Crafts · The Harlequin Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all crafts

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1734335 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +48.10$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 78.96$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 127.06$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +60.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 192.48$ · profit at most −65.42$ (at most -34.0%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 0.48 → 1.04 $
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 22.88 → 54.11 $
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 55.60 → 137.33 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −62 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −62 $: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection
+48.10 $ +60.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 243.61 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+5.76 $ +60.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 24.85 $ · chance 30%
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+355.15 $ +154.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −229 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 only The Overpass Collection
+86.76 $ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 243.61 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −111 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+82.75 $ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 243.61 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+82.22 $ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 243.61 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −105 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
0.48 $
at 0.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074413f′ (normalized) 0.106305wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 497 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1626
22.88 $
at 5.72
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162688f′ (normalized) 0.138768wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 15.01 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
55.60 $
at 11.12
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003861f′ (normalized) 0.007723wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 78.96 $ +48.10 (+60.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.049000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
42.46 $ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 36.92 you get 0.111800The Overpass Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 42.33 $ (you get 36.81)) · buy orders: 759 sell on Market.CSGO: 35.67 $ to your card cheapest lot 39.11 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 33.61 $ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 36.94 $ on Lis-Skins: from 36.05 $ listings: 98
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
280.15 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 243.61 you get 0.070000The Overpass Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 149.99 $ to your card cheapest lot 164.46 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 135.49 $ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 146.13 $ on Lis-Skins: from 136.63 $ listings: 71
at a loss
AWP | Exothermic
Factory New
9.69 $ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Exothermic (Factory New)net 8.43 you get 0.049000 sells ≈422 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 9.91 $ (you get 8.62)) · buy orders: 7277 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.42 $ to your card cheapest lot 8.14 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 7.24 $ listings: 409 on CS.Money: ~ 8.72 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.74 $ listings: 422
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Factory New
9.20 $ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New)net 8.00 you get 0.049000 sells 388 a week sell now to a buy order: 9.08 $ (you get 7.89)) · buy orders: 10619 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.11 $ to your card cheapest lot 7.80 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 7.03 $ listings: 430 on CS.Money: ~ 8.57 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.42 $ listings: 134
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work