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The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +606.10₽

Invest 1 773.36₽

Average return 2 379.46₽

ROI +34.2%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 262.21₽ · profit at most −1 882.75₽ (at most -44.2%) · chance of profit at most 17%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 142.96 → 308.79 ₽

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 701.60 → 1659.28 ₽

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 928.80 → 2294.14 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection

+606.10 ₽ +34.2% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 17%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
4× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
5× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

+513.25 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 33%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) · 7 939.24 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

2× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
4× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
4× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634

Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+480.77 ₽ +28.9% chance of profit 27%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 27%

sells slowly

8× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+471.48 ₽ +24.4% chance of profit 37%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 30%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

+53 815.97 ₽ +95.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −8 923 ₽

1× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+53 412.08 ₽ +93.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −9 865 ₽

1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

142.96 ₽

at 142.96

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

701.60 ₽

at 175.40

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

928.80 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 773.36 ₽ +606.10 (+34.2%)

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

175.40 ₽

at 175.40

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

614.10 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

557.28 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 346.78 ₽ +429.20 (+31.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −838 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

526.20 ₽

at 175.40

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1 817.60 ₽

at 363.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

371.52 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 715.32 ₽ +116.76 (+4.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −504 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

701.60 ₽

at 175.40

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 090.56 ₽

at 363.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

557.28 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 349.44 ₽ +331.77 (+14.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

701.60 ₽

at 175.40

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

204.70 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

743.04 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 649.34 ₽ +579.25 (+35.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

4 118.27 ₽ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

5 090.19 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

1 603.22 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

3 431.86 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

1 280.69 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

894.07 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +278.97 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +538.83 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1727440 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 494.38₽ · invest 1 815.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −623 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163466 instead of 0.162201; StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163466 instead of 0.162201
Craft 1719493 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 480.11₽ · invest 1 701.04₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163764 instead of 0.162201; StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163764 instead of 0.162201

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build