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The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +6 381.63₴

Invest 8 469.34₴

Average return 14 850.98₴

ROI +75.3%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 20 945.48₴ · profit at most −6 094.50₴ (at most -29.1%) · chance of profit at most 40%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 6313.68 → 15847.33 ₴

MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2155.67 → 5098.16 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 469 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+6 381.63 ₴ +75.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 22 249.02 ₴ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −8 469 ₴

6× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
4× MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+599.84 ₴ +10.9% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 80%

rare inputs

2× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683

Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+398.86 ₴ +14.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) · 3 991.88 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787
9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787

Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+371.19 ₴ +17.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) · 3 456.35 ₴ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
7× UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
2× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+339.73 ₴ +11.7% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) · 4 879.28 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+259.24 ₴ +13.4% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) · 3 456.35 ₴ · chance 5.0%

1× FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
1× P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

6 313.68 ₴

at 1 052.28

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

2 155.67 ₴

at 538.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 469.34 ₴ +6 381.63 (+75.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 007 ₴

13% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 13% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

3 156.84 ₴

at 1 052.28

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1807

538.92 ₴

at 538.92

Steam

×6

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0806

9 310.85 ₴

at 1 551.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 006.60 ₴ +5 543.39 (+42.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 578 ₴

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

1 238.89 ₴

at 412.96

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

5 261.40 ₴

at 1 052.28

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 077.83 ₴

at 538.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 578.13 ₴ +4 806.84 (+63.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 494 ₴

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

4 209.12 ₴

at 1 052.28

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1744

1 077.83 ₴

at 538.92

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

6 207.23 ₴

at 1 551.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 494.18 ₴ +5 822.81 (+50.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −6 813 ₴

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

2 064.82 ₴

at 412.96

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

4 209.12 ₴

at 1 052.28

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1739

538.92 ₴

at 538.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 812.86 ₴ +4 339.10 (+63.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

25 586.37 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

12 624.15 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

10 189.43 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 281.63 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 724.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1740177 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 305.80₴ · invest 6 723.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 723 ₴ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested), MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162451 instead of 0.165916
Craft 1732313 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 7 403.57₴ · invest 6 599.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 789 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.165916
Craft 1735743 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 7 220.97₴ · invest 12 385.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 411 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165916
Craft 1741525 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 6 656.49₴ · invest 5 074.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 475 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.165916
Craft 1718113 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 6 373.21₴ · invest 5 525.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 744 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.165916

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build