StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1735563 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+61.32$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».303.29$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.364.61$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+20.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.20%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 730.79$
· profit at most −366.18$
(at most -50.1%) · chance of profit at most 20%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) × 47% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.37210.14 → 496.98 $
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 67% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5193.15 → 233.82 $
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 20.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -195.83 $.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1657
(0% of this wear's listings)
210.14 $
at 52.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165753f′ (normalized) 0.184170wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 64 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0047
(0% of this wear's listings)
93.15 $
at 15.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004794f′ (normalized) 0.006849wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs303.29 $
+61.32
(+20.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.077777678result 0.054444, 0.066111, 0.070000, 0.054444«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1679
(0% of this wear's listings)
105.07 $
at 52.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167935f′ (normalized) 0.186595wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 64 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(0% of this wear's listings)
52.66 $
at 10.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076238f′ (normalized) 0.076238wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 73) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0054
(0% of this wear's listings)
46.58 $
at 15.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005458f′ (normalized) 0.007798wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs204.30 $
+57.03
(+27.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.077777678result 0.054444, 0.066111, 0.070000, 0.054444«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1650
(0% of this wear's listings)
210.14 $
at 52.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165057f′ (normalized) 0.183396wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 64 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(0% of this wear's listings)
117.22 $
at 117.22
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004582f′ (normalized) 0.011456wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(0% of this wear's listings)
77.63 $
at 15.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004582f′ (normalized) 0.006546wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs404.99 $
+11.26
(+2.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.077777678result 0.070000, 0.054444, 0.054444, 0.066111«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1619
(0% of this wear's listings)
157.60 $
at 52.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161963f′ (normalized) 0.179959wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 64 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(0% of this wear's listings)
16.91 $
at 8.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074161f′ (normalized) 0.105944wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 56 · from 13.28 $ (float 0.0707) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(0% of this wear's listings)
77.63 $
at 15.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003641f′ (normalized) 0.005201wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs252.14 $
+60.83
(+24.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.077777678result 0.054444, 0.066111, 0.070000, 0.054444«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1618
(0% of this wear's listings)
52.53 $
at 52.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161807f′ (normalized) 0.179786wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 64 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(0% of this wear's listings)
84.25 $
at 10.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074107f′ (normalized) 0.074107wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 73) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0035
(0% of this wear's listings)
15.53 $
at 15.53
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003593f′ (normalized) 0.005133wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs152.31 $
+57.39
(+37.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.077777678result 0.054444, 0.066111, 0.070000, 0.054444«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
61.88 $30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 53.81you get 0.054444The Recoil Collectionsells 32 a weeksell now to a buy order: 53.75 $
(you get 46.74)) · buy orders: 1352
sell on Market.CSGO: 42.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 46.70 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 41.83 $listings: 80
on CS.Money: ~ 42.93 $
on Lis-Skins: from 43.56 $listings: 69
at a loss
StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
301.66 $30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 262.31you get 0.066111The Recoil Collectionsells 2 a weekno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 272.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 298.98 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 230.46 $listings: 64
on CS.Money: ~ 253.83 $
on Lis-Skins: from 251.31 $listings: 50
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan
Factory New
1 312.00 $20.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)net 1285.76you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 312.00 $listings 65 · you get 1 285.76 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 808.96 $
(you get 1 573.01)) · buy orders: 1294
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 479.35 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 622.09 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 1 312.00 $listings: 65
on CS.Money: ~ 1 485.00 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 396.93 $listings: 69
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
72.58 $20.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)net 63.11you get 0.054444
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 69.36 $
(you get 60.31)) · buy orders: 742
sell on Market.CSGO: 68.00 $ to your card
cheapest lot 74.57 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 58.92 $listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 60.47 $
on Lis-Skins: from 65.76 $listings: 54
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+49.61 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+59.68 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1729271
· The Fracture Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 63.57$
· invest 281.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.165753
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
