Crafts · The Mirage Collection
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The Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736887 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 256.40₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 904.10₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 160.50₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 50 617.55₽ · profit at most −457.05₽ (at most -0.9%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 322.26 → 696.08 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 793 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 793 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection
+30 256.40 ₽ +152.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 793 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+30 625.22 ₽ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 725 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+30 462.20 ₽ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 120 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+30 454.07 ₽ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 557 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.049786wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.009957wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
322.26 ₽
at 322.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.005689wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 19 904.10 ₽ +30 256.40 (+152.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.013513, 0.005541, 0.013513, 0.008108, 0.007432 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
FAMAS | ZX Spectron
Factory New
2 227.40 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New)net 1936.87 you get 0.013513The Operation Riptide Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 639.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 797.71 · lots 68 on CSFloat: from 1 773.12 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 1 785.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 598.38 ₽ listings: 198
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol
Factory New
985.15 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New)net 856.65 you get 0.005541The Operation Riptide Collection sells 57 a week sell now to a buy order: 981.10 ₽ (you get 853.13)) · buy orders: 28077 sell on Market.CSGO: 809.08 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 887.15 · lots 50 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 769.21 ₽ listings: 107 on CS.Money: ~ 804.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 780.35 ₽ listings: 309
at a loss
M4A4 | Spider Lily
Factory New
3 393.17 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)net 2950.58 you get 0.013513The Operation Riptide Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 703.97 ₽ (you get 4 959.97)) · buy orders: 6829 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 044.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 531.48 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 4 670.94 ₽ listings: 114 on CS.Money: ~ 4 915.92 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 060.68 ₽ listings: 150
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
Factory New
550.04 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)net 478.30 you get 0.008108The Operation Riptide Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 542.19 ₽ (you get 471.46)) · buy orders: 14735 sell on Market.CSGO: 441.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 483.79 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 513.09 ₽ listings: 79 on CS.Money: ~ 448.85 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 433.43 ₽ listings: 92
at a loss
MP9 | Mount Fuji
Factory New
1 449.09 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New)net 1260.08 you get 0.007432The Operation Riptide Collection sells 72 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 426.71 ₽ (you get 1 240.61)) · buy orders: 12778 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 104.24 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 210.80 · lots 184 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 133.26 ₽ listings: 364 on CS.Money: ~ 1 231.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 175.23 ₽ listings: 482
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