Crafts · The Mirage Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736888 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +355.31$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 229.31$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 584.62$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +154.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 584.32$ · profit at most +0.30$ (at most +0.1%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21.60 → 46.65 $
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 207.01 → 536.15 $
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 0.70 → 1.52 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −229 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −229 $: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+355.31 $ +154.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −229 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+6.12 $ +76.7% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 61.11 $ · chance 8.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+5.92 $ +63.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 24.85 $ · chance 30%
  • 1× Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+5.53 $ +119.8% chance of profit 64%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 26.52 $ · chance 18%
  • 1× Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 5 only The Mirage Collection
+394.23 $ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+363.91 $ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −240 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
21.60 $
at 21.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.048961wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 58.37 $ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 21.56 $ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
207.01 $
at 25.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.009792wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
0.70 $
at 0.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.007833wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 723 · good ≈ 9
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 800 · from 15.40 $ (float 0.0004) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 229.31 $ +355.31 (+154.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.011486, 0.011081, 0.010135 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
746.02 $ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 648.71 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 203.17 $ (you get 176.67)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 232.82 $ to your card cheapest lot 255.28 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
AUG | Eye of Zapems
Factory New
9.53 $ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New)net 8.29 you get 0.011486The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 8.75 $ (you get 7.61)) · buy orders: 3372 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.63 $ to your card cheapest lot 8.36 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 6.24 $ listings: 531 on CS.Money: ~ 6.62 $ on Lis-Skins: from 6.76 $ listings: 245
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels
Factory New
9.56 $ 3.33%
Steam Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New)net 8.31 you get 0.011081The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 46 a week sell now to a buy order: 9.38 $ (you get 8.15)) · buy orders: 3095 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.40 $ to your card cheapest lot 8.12 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 6.90 $ listings: 316 on CS.Money: ~ 7.32 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.11 $ listings: 239
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Monster Melt
Factory New
7.69 $ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)net 6.69 you get 0.010135The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 69 a week sell now to a buy order: 7.20 $ (you get 6.26)) · buy orders: 3368 sell on Market.CSGO: 5.86 $ to your card cheapest lot 6.42 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 5.62 $ listings: 267 on CS.Money: ~ 6.14 $ on Lis-Skins: from 5.78 $ listings: 322
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