Crafts · The Mirage Collection
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The Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736894 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 444.47₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 647.22₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 091.69₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +155.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 50 062.69₽ · profit at most +29.01₽ (at most +0.1%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 65.38 → 141.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 597 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 597 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+30 444.47 ₽ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 597 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+492.59 ₽ +61.5% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+473.50 ₽ +67.6% chance of profit 65%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 6.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+465.55 ₽ +118.4% chance of profit 62%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 2 271.23 ₽ · chance 18%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 1× P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 8× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
Variant 5 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.048262wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 1 846.79 ₽ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
65.38 ₽
at 65.38
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 338 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 67) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 19 647.22 ₽ +30 444.47 (+155.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.112162, 0.013513, 0.106757, 0.005135 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
FAMAS | Sergeant
Minimal Wear
1 414.66 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear)net 1230.14 you get 0.112162The Phoenix Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 180.00 ₽ (you get 1 026.08)) · buy orders: 2348 sell on Market.CSGO: 960.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 052.70 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 992.78 ₽ listings: 32 on CS.Money: ~ 1 018.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 039.89 ₽ listings: 46
at a loss
MAC-10 | Heat
Factory New
1 271.27 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New)net 1105.45 you get 0.013513The Phoenix Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 094.89 ₽ (you get 952.07)) · buy orders: 2632 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 032.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 132.58 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 934.53 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 960.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 948.24 ₽ listings: 87
at a loss
SG 553 | Pulse
Minimal Wear
550.93 ₽ 2.50%
Steam SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear)net 479.07 you get 0.106757The Phoenix Collection sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 549.84 ₽ (you get 478.12)) · buy orders: 9121 sell on Market.CSGO: 455.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 499.53 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 429.15 ₽ listings: 117 on CS.Money: ~ 485.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 447.99 ₽ listings: 160
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Guardian
Factory New
481.99 ₽ 2.50%
Steam USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)net 419.12 you get 0.005135The Phoenix Collection sells 113 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.99 ₽ (you get 418.25)) · buy orders: 12978 sell on Market.CSGO: 380.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 416.89 · lots 95 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 372.61 ₽ listings: 581 on CS.Money: ~ 391.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 394.03 ₽ listings: 499
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