Crafts · The Mirage Collection
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The Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736898 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 431.59₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 649.14₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 080.73₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +154.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 50 066.83₽ · profit at most +13.90₽ (at most +0.0%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 67.30 → 145.37 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 579 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 579 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection
+30 431.59 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 579 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+503.72 ₽ +62.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+502.49 ₽ +69.1% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 8.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 4 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+30 625.22 ₽ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 725 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.048961wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 1 846.79 ₽ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.009792wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
67.30 ₽
at 67.30
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.007833wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 877 · good ≈ 11
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 172.50 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 368 · from 263.83 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 19 649.14 ₽ +30 431.59 (+154.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.010135, 0.009054, 0.008108 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Mulberry
Factory New
1 324.31 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)net 1151.57 you get 0.010135The Radiant Collection sells 264 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 272.75 ₽ (you get 1 106.73)) · buy orders: 9624 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 006.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 103.31 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 1 033.04 ₽ listings: 322 on CS.Money: ~ 1 190.65 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 051.03 ₽ listings: 283
at a loss
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
562.28 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)net 488.94 you get 0.009054The Radiant Collection sells 330 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 457.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 501.53 · lots 65 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 436.86 ₽ listings: 323 on CS.Money: ~ 465.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 686
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Factory New
524.35 ₽ 3.33%
Steam USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)net 455.96 you get 0.008108The Radiant Collection sells 412 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 405.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 444.98 · lots 22 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 401.74 ₽ listings: 267 on CS.Money: ~ 471.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 427.43 ₽ listings: 350
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