Crafts · The Mirage Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736938 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +161 528.73₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 104 636.53₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 266 165.27₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +154.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 266 230.35₸ · profit at most −65.09₸ (at most -0.0%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 9757.58 → 21076.38 ₸
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 93524.28 → 242227.89 ₸
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1354.67 → 2926.09 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −104 037 ₸ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −104 037 ₸: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+161 528.73 ₸ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −104 037 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+178 111.71 ₸ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −114 972 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+164 413.66 ₸ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −108 306 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+160 668.92 ₸ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −106 119 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+160 626.04 ₸ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −103 150 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+160 575.40 ₸ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −103 363 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
9 757.58 ₸
at 9 757.58
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003874f′ (normalized) 0.048426wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 26 371.85 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 9 740.65 ₸ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
93 524.28 ₸
at 11 690.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003874f′ (normalized) 0.009685wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0838
1 354.67 ₸
at 1 354.67
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.083874f′ (normalized) 0.009224wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 20 122.25 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 104 636.53 ₸ +161 528.73 (+154.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
337 046.73 ₸ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 293084.12 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 91 792.76 ₸ (you get 79 819.78)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 105 185.91 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 115 335.49 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
7 911.55 ₸ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 6879.62 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 097.65 ₸ (you get 5 302.27)) · buy orders: 826 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 601.82 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 7 238.86 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 8 421.43 ₸ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 6 442.54 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 6 243.80 ₸ listings: 40
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
94 986.49 ₸ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 82596.95 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 78 336.52 ₸ (you get 68 118.70)) · buy orders: 1148 sell on Market.CSGO: 62 463.20 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 68 490.38 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 60 987.48 ₸ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 65 424.07 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 62 970.86 ₸ listings: 64
at a loss
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
20 241.82 ₸ 2.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 17601.57 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 20 597.89 ₸ (you get 17 911.18)) · buy orders: 5644 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 092.54 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 18 741.84 · lots 28 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 16 711.79 ₸ listings: 101 on CS.Money: ~ 18 406.02 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 17 208.79 ₸ listings: 89
at a loss
worst
MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
5 593.63 ₸ 2.00%
Steam MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 4864.02 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 603.38 ₸ (you get 4 872.46)) · buy orders: 3956 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 698.62 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 5 152.00 · lots 56 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 4 477.25 ₸ listings: 110 on CS.Money: ~ 4 680.58 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 4 554.05 ₸ listings: 184
at a loss
P90 | Virus
Factory New
8 666.05 ₸ 2.00%
Steam P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 7535.70 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 639.63 ₸ (you get 7 512.71)) · buy orders: 1297 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 964.33 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 13 118.83 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 8 439.47 ₸ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 8 281.34 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 7 974.16 ₸ listings: 17
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