to all crafts

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3 727.37₴

Invest 14 346.36₴

Average return 18 073.73₴

ROI +26.0%

Chance of profit 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 420.93₴ · profit at most −17 347.21₴ (at most -49.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1714.65 → 3703.65 ₴

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) × 8 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 10308.85 → 26699.91 ₴

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2322.85 → 5017.37 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 266 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

+3 727.37 ₴ +26.0% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 125.66 ₴ · chance 5.0%

profit on prices without salesat least −13 266 ₴

1× M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0785
8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0785
1× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0074

Variant 2 The Revolution Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+1 227.82 ₴ +29.7% chance of profit 55%

expensive: M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 125.66 ₴ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
7× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
2× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+968.00 ₴ +17.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%

float out of reach

9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627

Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+910.74 ₴ +15.9% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%

rare inputs

9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+896.55 ₴ +15.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%

rare inputs

9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+813.97 ₴ +16.9% chance of profit 55%

expensive: M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 125.66 ₴ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1684
6× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
3× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

1 714.65 ₴

at 1 714.65

Steam

×8

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

10 308.85 ₴

at 1 288.61

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

2 322.85 ₴

at 2 322.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 346.36 ₴ +3 727.37 (+26.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

21 714.09 ₴ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

2 847.68 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

21 994.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 264.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 693.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1737763 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 543.55₴ · invest 15 943.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 944 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.078549; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.007480
Craft 1738772 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 432.81₴ · invest 14 183.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −14 184 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078682 instead of 0.078549; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): float at most 0.007596 instead of 0.007480

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build