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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +5 332.33₽

Invest 6 632.44₽

Average return 11 964.77₽

ROI +80.4%

Chance of profit 77%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 557.39₽ · profit at most −4 592.62₽ (at most -27.7%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) × 3 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 1225.29 → 2769.16 ₽

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 7 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 5407.15 → 13788.23 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 632 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection

+5 332.33 ₽ +80.4% chance of profit 77%

expensive: StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) · 21 198.27 ₽ · chance 10%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 632 ₽

3× StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
7× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+54 124.67 ₽ +95.2% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −9 647 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+53 853.88 ₽ +93.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −10 224 ₽

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+8 205.13 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 63%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 313 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055

Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+7 934.34 ₽ +61.6% chance of profit 63%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 890 ₽

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+7 798.83 ₽ +117.9% chance of profit 83%

expensive: StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New) · 33 082.76 ₽ · chance 12%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 612 ₽

5× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 225.29 ₽

at 408.43

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

5 407.15 ₽

at 772.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 632.44 ₽ +5 332.33 (+80.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 118 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

408.43 ₽

at 408.43

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

2 074.68 ₽

at 691.56

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 634.70 ₽

at 772.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 117.81 ₽ +5 153.72 (+72.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −6 435 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

408.43 ₽

at 408.43

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

691.56 ₽

at 691.56

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

700.00 ₽

at 350.00

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

4 634.70 ₽

at 772.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 434.69 ₽ +5 223.32 (+81.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −9 630 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3 457.80 ₽

at 691.56

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

5 400.00 ₽

at 1 350.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

772.45 ₽

at 772.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 630.25 ₽ +4 175.09 (+43.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −9 053 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3 457.80 ₽

at 691.56

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4 050.00 ₽

at 1 350.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 544.90 ₽

at 772.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 052.70 ₽ +4 445.88 (+49.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 23%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

19 770.00 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

10 965.61 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

7 367.87 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

24 378.01 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

13 707.25 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

10 601.48 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 573.69 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 088.70 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build