Crafts · The Overpass Collection
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The Overpass Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1738915 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 131.71₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 761.91₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 10 893.62₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +61.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 483.88₽ · profit at most −5 590.25₽ (at most -33.9%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1959.96 → 4635.31 ₽
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 4762.45 → 11763.25 ₽
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 39.50 → 85.32 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 258 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 258 ₽: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Overpass Collection + The Shadow Collection
+4 131.71 ₽ +61.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 258 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+486.75 ₽ +58.6% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 3 only The Overpass Collection
+7 431.82 ₽ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 525 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+7 088.31 ₽ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 744 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+7 042.40 ₽ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 998 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+6 884.85 ₽ +78.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 715 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0066
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0866

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1641
1 959.96 ₽
at 489.99
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164184f′ (normalized) 0.140790wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 286.10 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0043
4 762.45 ₽
at 952.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004317f′ (normalized) 0.008634wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
SCAR-20 | Green Marine
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
39.50 ₽
at 39.50
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074933f′ (normalized) 0.093667wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 6 761.91 ₽ +4 131.71 (+61.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.063000, 0.070000, 0.043400, 0.063000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
3 637.32 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 3162.89 you get 0.111800 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 626.06 ₽ (you get 3 153.09)) · buy orders: 759 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 055.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 350.00 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 2 878.97 ₽ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 3 164.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 087.98 ₽ listings: 98
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
23 997.02 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 20866.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 12 847.90 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 087.61 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 11 605.82 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 12 517.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 703.47 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Factory New
1 970.27 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)net 1713.28 you get 0.063000The Shadow Collection sells ≈18 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 001.41 ₽ (you get 1 740.35)) · buy orders: 4669 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 605.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 760.69 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 1 567.54 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 1 612.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 570.97 ₽ listings: 147
at a loss
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Factory New
617.65 ₽ 2.50%
Steam M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)net 537.09 you get 0.070000The Shadow Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 615.82 ₽ (you get 535.49)) · buy orders: 3342 sell on Market.CSGO: 541.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 593.28 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 568.77 ₽ listings: 41 on CS.Money: ~ 520.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 519.09 ₽ listings: 60
at a loss
worst
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
466.76 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)net 405.88 you get 0.043400The Shadow Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 506.81 ₽ (you get 440.70)) · buy orders: 4069 sell on Market.CSGO: 427.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.05 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 425.72 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 417.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 459.98 ₽ listings: 88
at a loss
P250 | Wingshot
Factory New
633.92 ₽ 2.50%
Steam P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)net 551.23 you get 0.063000The Shadow Collection sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 600.52 ₽ (you get 522.19)) · buy orders: 5454 sell on Market.CSGO: 537.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 588.96 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 501.96 ₽ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 526.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 530.22 ₽ listings: 136
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