Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1739176 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 730.95₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 910.19₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 641.14₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +59.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 597.31₽ · profit at most −2 956.17₽ (at most -38.9%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 9 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2790.00 → 7337.70 ₽
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 120.19 → 259.61 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection
+1 730.95 ₽ +59.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 230.19 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 016.83 ₽ +39.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 920.50 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 802.55 ₽ +64.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
2 790.00 ₽
at 310.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161616f′ (normalized) 0.068462wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 111 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 58 · from 504.53 ₽ (float 0.1595) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
120.19 ₽
at 120.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161616f′ (normalized) 0.161616wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 86 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 120 · from 753.79 ₽ (float 0.1609) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 910.19 ₽ +1 730.95 (+59.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.077777678 result 0.146667, 0.023333, 0.132111, 0.086111, 0.070000, 0.049778 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
14 598.37 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 12694.23 you get 0.146667 sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 045.24 ₽ (you get 12 213.25)) · buy orders: 2595 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 394.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 493.70 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 10 543.66 ₽ listings: 357 on CS.Money: ~ 11 925.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 168.96 ₽ listings: 423
at a loss
worst
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.023333 sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.132111 sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
at a loss
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Minimal Wear
2 763.12 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)net 2402.71 you get 0.086111The Shadow Collection sells 246 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 777.87 ₽ (you get 2 415.53)) · buy orders: 3223 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 209.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 423.00 · lots 81 on CSFloat: from 2 065.22 ₽ listings: 358 on CS.Money: ~ 2 300.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 164.58 ₽ listings: 604
in profit
G3SG1 | Flux
Factory New
3 800.57 ₽ 3.33%
Steam G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)net 3304.84 you get 0.070000The Shadow Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 709.03 ₽ (you get 2 355.67)) · buy orders: 478 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 462.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 699.94 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 2 741.06 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 2 312.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 380.44 ₽ listings: 41
at a loss
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
2 823.51 ₽ 3.33%
Steam SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 2455.23 you get 0.049778The Shadow Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 608.62 ₽ (you get 2 268.36)) · buy orders: 2114 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 268.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 487.41 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 983.84 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 2 036.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 248.53 ₽ listings: 116
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