Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1739186 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 024.49₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 551.14₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 575.63₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 18 784.40₽ · profit at most −10 208.78₽ (at most -54.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 2034.34 → 4495.89 ₽
G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 5516.80 → 14288.51 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection
+1 024.49 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 10%
rare inputs
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 758.09 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 375.66 ₽ +39.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 222.79 ₽ +20.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 4× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+1 009.55 ₽ +11.7% chance of profit 70%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 11 546.71 ₽ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+824.51 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 9 250.39 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
2 034.34 ₽
at 1 017.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004645f′ (normalized) 0.015486wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 60 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 296.43 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 93 · from 3 300.41 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1652
5 516.80 ₽
at 689.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165265f′ (normalized) 0.183628wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 45 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 52) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 7 551.14 ₽ +1 024.49 (+13.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.075000, 0.303000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
about break-even
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
9 059.93 ₽ 40.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 7878.20 you get 0.150000The Shadow Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 223.88 ₽ (you get 8 020.76)) · buy orders: 1200 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 701.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 444.42 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 7 071.08 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 8 013.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 288.65 ₽ listings: 146
in profit
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Minimal Wear
10 637.95 ₽ 40.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)net 9250.39 you get 0.150000The Shadow Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 318.77 ₽ (you get 8 972.84)) · buy orders: 900 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 617.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 448.55 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 8 085.27 ₽ listings: 159 on CS.Money: ~ 8 931.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 102.40 ₽ listings: 216
about break-even
worst
AUG | Chameleon
Minimal Wear
8 385.27 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)net 7291.54 you get 0.075000 sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 387.17 ₽ (you get 7 293.19)) · buy orders: 9171 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 557.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 189.92 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 6 336.99 ₽ listings: 90 on CS.Money: ~ 6 797.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 564.84 ₽ listings: 71
in profit
best
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
11 442.91 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 9950.36 you get 0.303000 sells 88 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 151.66 ₽ (you get 9 697.09)) · buy orders: 6658 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 572.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 400.00 · lots 97 on CSFloat: from 8 291.71 ₽ listings: 783 on CS.Money: ~ 9 238.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 016.37 ₽ listings: 735
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