Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1739186 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +536.83₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 956.75₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 493.58₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 842.91₴ · profit at most −5 349.34₴ (at most -54.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1065.98 → 2355.82 ₴
G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 2890.77 → 7487.09 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection
+536.82 ₴ +13.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 5 213.93 ₴ · chance 10%
rare inputs
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 445.22 ₴ +45.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 5 333.44 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 244.83 ₴ +39.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 5 213.93 ₴ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+640.74 ₴ +20.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 5 213.93 ₴ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 4× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+529.00 ₴ +11.7% chance of profit 70%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 6 050.41 ₴ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+432.04 ₴ +13.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 4 847.15 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
1 065.98 ₴
at 532.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004645f′ (normalized) 0.015486wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 60 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 299.29 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×8
G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1652
2 890.77 ₴
at 361.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165265f′ (normalized) 0.183628wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 45 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 3 956.75 ₴ +536.83 (+13.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.075000, 0.303000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
about break-even
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
4 747.35 ₴ 40.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 4128.13 you get 0.150000The Shadow Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 833.26 ₴ (you get 4 202.83)) · buy orders: 1200
in profit
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Minimal Wear
5 574.22 ₴ 40.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)net 4847.15 you get 0.150000The Shadow Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 406.97 ₴ (you get 4 701.71)) · buy orders: 900
about break-even
worst
AUG | Chameleon
Minimal Wear
4 393.83 ₴ 10.00%
Steam AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)net 3820.72 you get 0.075000 sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 394.83 ₴ (you get 3 821.59)) · buy orders: 9171
in profit
best
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
5 996.01 ₴ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 5213.93 you get 0.303000 sells 88 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 843.40 ₴ (you get 5 081.22)) · buy orders: 6658
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