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The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +473.50₽

Invest 700.00₽

Average return 1 173.50₽

ROI +67.6%

Chance of profit 65%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 714.72₽ · profit at most −541.22₽ (at most -31.6%) · chance of profit at most 12%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 457.66 → 1167.03 ₽

SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 242.34 → 547.69 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+473.50 ₽ +67.6% chance of profit 65%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 6.0%

sells slowly

7× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
3× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+542.82 ₽ +91.1% chance of profit 52%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 8.0%

sells slowly

4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
6× Nova | Windblown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+492.59 ₽ +61.5% chance of profit 92%

expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%

rare inputs

1× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+465.55 ₽ +118.4% chance of profit 62%

expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 2 271.23 ₽ · chance 18%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
1× P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
8× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+462.63 ₽ +44.4% chance of profit 65%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

2× M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
8× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764

Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+3 624.72 ₽ +173.5% chance of profit 30%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 545 ₽

1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

457.66 ₽

at 65.38

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

242.34 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 700.00 ₽ +473.50 (+67.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −390 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

106.38 ₽

at 53.19

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

63.73 ₽

at 63.73

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 357.58 ₽

at 193.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 527.69 ₽ +254.23 (+16.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −137 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

326.90 ₽

at 65.38

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

127.46 ₽

at 63.73

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

581.82 ₽

at 193.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 036.18 ₽ +380.69 (+36.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −451 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

53.19 ₽

at 53.19

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

63.73 ₽

at 63.73

Steam

×8

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 551.52 ₽

at 193.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 668.44 ₽ +235.17 (+14.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

1 414.66 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

1 271.27 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

550.93 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

481.99 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

6 019.65 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

1 025.13 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

1 088.59 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

2 072.81 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

1 439.25 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +280.14 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +393.08 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1731496 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 629.99₽ · invest 752.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1721920 · The Chroma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 558.44₽ · invest 841.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −155 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1735110 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 556.17₽ · invest 834.74₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1742168 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 542.82₽ · invest 595.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1738637 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 524.66₽ · invest 684.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1740390 · The Radiant Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 502.49₽ · invest 726.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1721048 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 501.71₽ · invest 630.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1732194 · The Gamma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 492.28₽ · invest 584.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044
Craft 1741386 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 483.81₽ · invest 683.66₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074044

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build