The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +917.58₴

Invest 1 671.58₴

Average return 2 589.16₴

ROI +54.9%

Chance of profit 37%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 297.73₴ · profit at most −1 708.57₴ (at most -39.8%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 9 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1461.94 → 3844.91 ₴

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 209.64 → 452.82 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+917.58 ₴ +54.9% chance of profit 37%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
1× PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 168.61 ₴ +43.6% chance of profit 93%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761

Variant 3 only The Phoenix Collection

+1 000.59 ₴ +64.8% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 33%

sells slowly

2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646

Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+944.52 ₴ +64.6% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
1× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+939.68 ₴ +64.7% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+937.19 ₴ +61.6% chance of profit 35%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
1× UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

1 461.94 ₴

at 162.44

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

209.64 ₴

at 209.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 671.58 ₴ +917.58 (+54.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −249 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

812.19 ₴

at 162.44

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

252.56 ₴

at 252.56

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

178.25 ₴

at 178.25

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

628.92 ₴

at 209.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 871.92 ₴ +853.55 (+45.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −527 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

649.75 ₴

at 162.44

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

252.56 ₴

at 252.56

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

178.25 ₴

at 178.25

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

838.56 ₴

at 209.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 919.12 ₴ +851.79 (+44.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −804 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

487.31 ₴

at 162.44

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

252.56 ₴

at 252.56

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

178.25 ₴

at 178.25

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 048.20 ₴

at 209.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 966.32 ₴ +850.02 (+43.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

7 649.46 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

532.99 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

593.42 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Colony IV

Factory New

2 868.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

831.77 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Decimator

Factory New

6 643.60 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +611.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +875.43 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1738479 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 926.01₴ · invest 1 565.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.162562
Craft 1739176 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 907.01₴ · invest 1 524.92₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.162562
Craft 1732009 · The Gamma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 904.58₴ · invest 1 560.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1725266 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 893.58₴ · invest 1 549.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1732657 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 889.42₴ · invest 1 529.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1704680 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 858.76₴ · invest 1 607.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1719687 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 854.46₴ · invest 1 533.43₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162562
Craft 1739367 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 849.83₴ · invest 1 694.24₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1739136 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 849.61₴ · invest 1 575.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1739023 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 849.31₴ · invest 1 522.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build