to all crafts

The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +19.87$

Invest 31.77$

Average return 51.64$

ROI +62.6%

Chance of profit 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 77.03$ · profit at most −25.39$ (at most -33.0%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8.14 → 18.40 $

FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 21.71 → 54.50 $

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1.91 → 4.12 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

+19.87 $ +62.6% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
1× Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+26.04 $ +43.6% chance of profit 93%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+25.82 $ +46.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+22.42 $ +66.0% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection

+22.29 $ +64.8% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 33%

sells slowly

2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646

Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+21.04 $ +64.6% chance of profit 33%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
1× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

8.14 $

at 2.71

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

21.71 $

at 3.62

Steam

×1

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1.91 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.77 $ +19.87 (+62.6%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

10.86 $

at 2.71

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

4.67 $

at 1.17

Steam

×2

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.82 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.34 $ +7.12 (+36.8%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

13.57 $

at 2.71

Steam

×2

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.02 $

at 1.01

Steam

×3

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

5.73 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.32 $ +10.18 (+47.7%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

8.14 $

at 2.71

Steam

×5

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

5.06 $

at 1.01

Steam

×2

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3.82 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.02 $ +4.41 (+25.9%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

2.71 $

at 2.71

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

3.62 $

at 3.62

Steam

×3

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.04 $

at 1.01

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

5.84 $

at 1.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.21 $ +1.19 (+7.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

170.43 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

11.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

13.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

8.11 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Food Chain

Minimal Wear

7.73 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

5.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1727624 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.35$ · invest 31.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162332 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162332 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1739281 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 21.04$ · invest 32.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164254 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164254 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1739253 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 20.94$ · invest 32.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165128 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165128 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1719686 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.93$ · invest 31.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161754 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161754 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1739111 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 20.87$ · invest 30.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164346 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164346 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1716769 · The Breakout Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.87$ · invest 33.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164618 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164618 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1724225 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.64$ · invest 32.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)
Craft 1726277 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.63$ · invest 31.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165065 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165065 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1736136 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.58$ · invest 31.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165199 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165199 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1722784 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.54$ · invest 31.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165128 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165128 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1739082 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.48$ · invest 31.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)
Craft 1739282 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 20.22$ · invest 32.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164989 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164989 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1739048 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 20.17$ · invest 31.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164894 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164894 instead of 0.165226
Craft 1728554 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.12$ · invest 31.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165265 instead of 0.165226; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165265 instead of 0.165226

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build