The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +14 547.19₸

Invest 32 323.13₸

Average return 46 870.32₸

ROI +45.0%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 79 639.55₸ · profit at most −32 769.24₸ (at most -41.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 10729.86 → 23712.99 ₸

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 21593.27 → 55926.57 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

+14 547.19 ₸ +45.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 53 684.80 ₸ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

Variant 2 The Revolution Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+12 530.13 ₸ +39.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 52 481.88 ₸ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+12 106.80 ₸ +31.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 76 626.20 ₸ · chance 10%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
2× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 4 only The Snakebite Collection

+10 792.99 ₸ +29.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 53 684.80 ₸ · chance 50%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+8 395.90 ₸ +28.4% chance of profit 55%

expensive: M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) · 111 832.04 ₸ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+7 534.92 ₸ +19.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 53 684.80 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

7× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0049
1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10 729.86 ₸

at 5 364.93

Steam

×8

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

21 593.27 ₸

at 2 699.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 323.13 ₸ +14 547.19 (+45.0%)

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

26 824.65 ₸

at 5 364.93

Steam

×2

MP9 | Food Chain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

4 036.05 ₸

at 2 018.03

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

8 097.48 ₸

at 2 699.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38 958.18 ₸ +7 818.15 (+20.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

32 189.58 ₸

at 5 364.93

Steam

×3

MP9 | Food Chain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

6 054.08 ₸

at 2 018.03

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2 699.16 ₸

at 2 699.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40 942.82 ₸ +5 802.18 (+14.2%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

5 364.93 ₸

at 5 364.93

Steam

×8

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

21 593.27 ₸

at 2 699.16

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7 273.36 ₸

at 7 273.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 231.56 ₸ +12 670.09 (+37.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

9 649.04 ₸

at 4 824.52

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

32 189.58 ₸

at 5 364.93

Steam

×2

MP9 | Food Chain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

4 036.05 ₸

at 2 018.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 874.67 ₸ +807.72 (+1.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

46 208.28 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

61 737.55 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

46 871.21 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

60 354.14 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 236.94 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 190.18 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1732230 · The Gamma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18 166.32₸ · invest 36 502.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.075282
Craft 1736464 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 16 474.30₸ · invest 29 192.27₸
sells slowly float out of reach rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076762 instead of 0.075282
Craft 1729680 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 15 443.18₸ · invest 28 025.89₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.075282
Craft 1718023 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 709.21₸ · invest 32 899.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076503 instead of 0.075282
Craft 1740760 · The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 171.51₸ · invest 30 697.99₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075282
Craft 1741117 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 123.76₸ · invest 32 172.28₸
sells slowly цена ненадёжна float out of reach rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.075282

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build