to all crafts

The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +77.04$

Invest 48.27$

Average return 125.31$

ROI +159.6%

Chance of profit 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 125.72$ · profit at most −0.40$ (at most -0.3%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 45.64 → 120.04 $

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2.63 → 5.67 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −34 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection

+77.04 $ +159.6% chance of profit 33%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 361.97 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −34 $

9× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+628.64 $ +95.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −106 $

1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

+588.35 $ +83.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −155 $

1× StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0606

Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

+94.24 $ +64.6% chance of profit 63%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 408.60 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −144 $

1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
8× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection

+83.44 $ +165.3% chance of profit 33%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 361.97 $ · chance 33%

profit on prices without salesat least −37 $

2× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
8× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646

Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

+79.60 $ +162.5% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 361.97 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −35 $

9× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

45.64 $

at 5.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

2.63 $

at 2.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.27 $ +77.04 (+159.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −22 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

4.96 $

at 4.96

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

10.14 $

at 5.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

7.88 $

at 2.63

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.56 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.54 $ +34.15 (+86.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −23 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

20.29 $

at 5.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

7.88 $

at 2.63

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

12.42 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.59 $ +41.70 (+102.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −33 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4.96 $

at 4.96

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

35.50 $

at 5.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2.63 $

at 2.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4.14 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.22 $ +69.49 (+147.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −26 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

9.91 $

at 4.96

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

15.21 $

at 5.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

5.25 $

at 2.63

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

12.42 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.80 $ +48.10 (+112.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

416.27 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

21.28 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

24.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

34.85 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

33.35 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator

Factory New

96.95 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +72.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 30 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1719688 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 80.05$ · invest 47.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1735477 · The Huntsman Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 79.69$ · invest 54.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −43 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162881 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739178 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 79.60$ · invest 48.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1725269 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 79.15$ · invest 48.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1732659 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 78.99$ · invest 49.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1734872 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 77.76$ · invest 49.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1727629 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 77.48$ · invest 47.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165081 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739204 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 77.30$ · invest 55.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −44 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739368 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 77.12$ · invest 50.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −39 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166502 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1731258 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 77.10$ · invest 47.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739024 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 77.00$ · invest 47.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1730309 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 76.89$ · invest 46.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739229 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 76.77$ · invest 47.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1728556 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 76.60$ · invest 47.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162189 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1732011 · The Gamma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 76.42$ · invest 49.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739140 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 76.42$ · invest 49.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1736139 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 76.15$ · invest 47.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1724229 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 76.11$ · invest 46.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164999 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739344 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.08$ · invest 52.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739230 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 76.04$ · invest 46.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1717772 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.93$ · invest 46.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162962 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1726279 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.71$ · invest 46.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1722786 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.67$ · invest 46.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162962 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739113 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 75.54$ · invest 46.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1719690 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.52$ · invest 47.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1728557 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.46$ · invest 46.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162940 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1739085 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 75.32$ · invest 47.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1737319 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.11$ · invest 56.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163943 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1720852 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 74.95$ · invest 48.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165775
Craft 1722787 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 74.30$ · invest 48.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161939 instead of 0.165775

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build