Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1739314 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 624.73₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 089.53₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 714.26₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +173.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 470.46₽ · profit at most +243.79₽ (at most +4.5%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 53.19 → 114.89 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 545 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 545 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 624.72 ₽ +173.5% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 545 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+492.59 ₽ +61.5% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+473.50 ₽ +67.6% chance of profit 65%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 6.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+465.55 ₽ +118.4% chance of profit 62%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 2 271.23 ₽ · chance 18%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 1× P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 8× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Corporal
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0764
53.19 ₽
at 53.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076496f′ (normalized) 0.037852wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 117 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005684f′ (normalized) 0.007614wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 28
on the market with this float, usually ~16, new ~1.32 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 089.53 ₽ +3 624.73 (+173.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.109574, 0.010638, 0.105319, 0.004043 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
FAMAS | Sergeant
Minimal Wear
1 414.66 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear)net 1230.14 you get 0.109574
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 180.00 ₽ (you get 1 026.08)) · buy orders: 2348 sell on Market.CSGO: 960.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 052.70 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 992.78 ₽ listings: 32 on CS.Money: ~ 1 018.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 039.89 ₽ listings: 46
at a loss
MAC-10 | Heat
Factory New
1 271.27 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New)net 1105.45 you get 0.010638 sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 094.89 ₽ (you get 952.07)) · buy orders: 2632 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 032.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 132.58 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 934.53 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 960.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 948.24 ₽ listings: 87
at a loss
SG 553 | Pulse
Minimal Wear
550.93 ₽ 2.50%
Steam SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear)net 479.07 you get 0.105319 sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 549.84 ₽ (you get 478.12)) · buy orders: 9121 sell on Market.CSGO: 455.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 499.53 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 429.15 ₽ listings: 117 on CS.Money: ~ 485.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 447.99 ₽ listings: 160
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Guardian
Factory New
481.99 ₽ 2.50%
Steam USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)net 419.12 you get 0.004043 sells 113 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.99 ₽ (you get 418.25)) · buy orders: 12978 sell on Market.CSGO: 380.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 416.89 · lots 95 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 372.61 ₽ listings: 581 on CS.Money: ~ 391.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 394.03 ₽ listings: 499
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