Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1739341 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 707.08₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 870.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 577.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +59.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 266.68₽ · profit at most −2 689.10₽ (at most -37.0%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 232.48 → 502.16 ₽
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 2480.00 → 6423.20 ₽
Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 158.02 → 341.32 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+1 707.08 ₽ +59.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 230.19 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 920.50 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 802.55 ₽ +64.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 793.30 ₽ +64.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Pulse
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
232.48 ₽
at 232.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.123364wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 257 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~18, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 554.76 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
2 480.00 ₽
at 310.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.068535wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 111 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
158.02 ₽
at 158.02
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.161682wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 30 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 2 870.50 ₽ +1 707.08 (+59.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.083333233 result 0.150000, 0.025000, 0.135833, 0.062500, 0.083333, 0.041667 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
14 598.37 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 12694.23 you get 0.150000 sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 045.24 ₽ (you get 12 213.25)) · buy orders: 2595 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 394.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 493.70 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 10 543.66 ₽ listings: 357 on CS.Money: ~ 11 925.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 168.96 ₽ listings: 423
at a loss
worst
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.025000 sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.135833 sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
in profit
P250 | Cartel
Factory New
3 551.86 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam P250 | Cartel (Factory New)net 3088.57 you get 0.062500The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 2 752.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 018.32 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 2 412.13 ₽ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 2 638.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 666.54 ₽ listings: 73
at a loss
SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
1 175.43 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)net 1022.11 you get 0.083333The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 029.87 ₽ (you get 895.53)) · buy orders: 2005 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 146.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 257.07 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 873.71 ₽ listings: 26 on CS.Money: ~ 934.53 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 928.53 ₽ listings: 43
at a loss
XM1014 | Tranquility
Factory New
2 467.06 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New)net 2145.27 you get 0.041667The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 857.97 ₽ (you get 1 615.62)) · buy orders: 1237 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 674.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 835.77 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 1 514.44 ₽ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 1 647.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 660.05 ₽ listings: 96
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