The Prisma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +7.01$

Invest 14.60$

Average return 21.61$

ROI +48.0%

Chance of profit 52%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 36.48$ · profit at most −14.88$ (at most -40.8%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 2.58 → 5.84 $

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 12.02 → 30.64 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Prisma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

+7.01 $ +48.0% chance of profit 52%

expensive: StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New) · 65.99 $ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −10 $

3× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
7× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+126.59 $ +492.2% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 540.57 $ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −23 $

6× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

+124.19 $ +305.5% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 540.57 $ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −38 $

6× StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

+86.76 $ +195.7% chance of profit 38%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 581.95 $ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −39 $

1× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+85.53 $ +196.7% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 581.95 $ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −38 $

1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0858

Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+6.89 $ +71.9% chance of profit 47%

expensive: StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) · 42.64 $ · chance 15%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 $

1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2.58 $

at 0.86

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

12.02 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.60 $ +7.01 (+48.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 $

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

1.49 $

at 0.37

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

4.31 $

at 0.86

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

1.72 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.51 $ +1.55 (+20.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −8 $

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

0.37 $

at 0.37

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3.45 $

at 0.86

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

8.58 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.40 $ +5.03 (+40.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −6 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.74 $

at 0.37

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

3.45 $

at 0.86

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6.87 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.06 $ +4.28 (+38.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 35%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

75.88 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

17.51 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

18.62 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

16.23 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched

Factory New

9.32 $ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

6.30 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Factory New

7.93 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing

Factory New

4.55 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Factory New

12.00 $ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma 2 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1739381 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 8.02$ · invest 15.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1742090 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.90$ · invest 16.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074151 instead of 0.074317
Craft 1742498 · The Snakebite Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.79$ · invest 15.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074151 instead of 0.074317
Craft 1735297 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.57$ · invest 15.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074240 instead of 0.074317
Craft 1721252 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.48$ · invest 15.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074151 instead of 0.074317
Craft 1736630 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.45$ · invest 13.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1726759 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.40$ · invest 13.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074317
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profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1732358 · The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.34$ · invest 14.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1725688 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.28$ · invest 15.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074692 instead of 0.074317
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profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074317
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profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1730863 · The Gallery Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6.94$ · invest 16.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1723279 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6.89$ · invest 14.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1742670 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6.63$ · invest 14.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1733080 · The Genesis Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6.57$ · invest 16.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074692 instead of 0.074317
Craft 1728066 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6.16$ · invest 16.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074317

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build