StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1739901 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+15 017.05₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».6 725.51₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.21 742.56₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+223.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.95%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 17 502.44₽
· profit at most +4 240.11₽
(at most +24.2%) · chance of profit at most 50%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) × 96% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.636330.51 → 16649.24 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16395.00 → 853.20 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 372 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 372 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×9
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(3% of this wear's listings)
6 330.51 ₽
at 703.39
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164876f′ (normalized) 0.048777wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 290.76 ₽
Set · 10 pcs6 725.51 ₽
+15 017.05
(+223.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.082352841result 0.057647, 0.065882, 0.057647, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1651
(3% of this wear's listings)
703.39 ₽
at 703.39
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165152f′ (normalized) 0.049318wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 290.76 ₽
×3
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 172.24 ₽
at 724.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075270f′ (normalized) 0.107529wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 587.91 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 412.66 ₽
at 902.11
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075270f′ (normalized) 0.075270wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs8 288.29 ₽
+6 162.33
(+74.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.082352841result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.057647, 0.065882«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1642
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 406.78 ₽
at 703.39
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164288f′ (normalized) 0.047624wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 290.76 ₽
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 896.32 ₽
at 724.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074969f′ (normalized) 0.107099wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 587.91 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 608.44 ₽
at 902.11
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074969f′ (normalized) 0.074969wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs7 911.54 ₽
+7 450.57
(+94.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.082352841result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.057647, 0.065882«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 340 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1641
(3% of this wear's listings)
4 923.73 ₽
at 703.39
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164126f′ (normalized) 0.047306wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 290.76 ₽
×3
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1641
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 477.71 ₽
at 492.57
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164126f′ (normalized) 0.164126wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs6 401.44 ₽
+13 518.13
(+211.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.082352841result 0.057647, 0.065882, 0.057647, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1637
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 110.17 ₽
at 703.39
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163760f′ (normalized) 0.046589wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 290.76 ₽
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(3% of this wear's listings)
3 620.40 ₽
at 724.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074786f′ (normalized) 0.106837wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 587.91 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 804.22 ₽
at 902.11
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074786f′ (normalized) 0.074786wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs7 534.79 ₽
+8 738.82
(+116.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.082352841result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.057647, 0.065882«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%
in profit
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob
Factory New
8 999.99 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)net 7826.08you get 0.057647
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 049.62 ₽
(you get 6 999.66)) · buy orders: 655
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 929.09 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 597.69 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 6 334.42 ₽listings: 20
on CS.Money: ~ 6 541.71 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 6 520.30 ₽listings: 53
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor
Factory New
43 104.32 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)net 37482.02you get 0.065882
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 120.69 ₽
(you get 34 017.99)) · buy orders: 562
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 669.78 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 629.15 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 27 399.46 ₽listings: 34
on CS.Money: ~ 29 456.11 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 29 221.41 ₽listings: 35
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
5 300.74 ₽5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 4609.34you get 0.057647The Recoil Collectionsells 32 a weeksell now to a buy order: 4 604.29 ₽
(you get 4 003.73)) · buy orders: 1352
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 648.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 4 000.00 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 3 583.08 ₽listings: 80
on CS.Money: ~ 3 677.30 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 3 731.27 ₽listings: 69
in profit
StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
25 839.26 ₽5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 22468.92you get 0.070000The Recoil Collectionsells 2 a weekno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 23 356.31 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 25 609.99 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 19 740.77 ₽listings: 64
on CS.Money: ~ 21 742.60 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 21 526.74 ₽listings: 50
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+13 514.88 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+14 434.29 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
17 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1734954
· The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 15 739.65₽
· invest 6 995.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 996 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1730408
· The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 15 273.17₽
· invest 7 245.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 979 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1740008
· The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 15 240.55₽
· invest 7 826.63₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 827 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1740201
· The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 14 926.18₽
· invest 7 392.12₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 392 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1739476
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 803.52₽
· invest 6 905.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 591 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165422 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1739940
· The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 797.58₽
· invest 6 623.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 410 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1732733
· The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 785.49₽
· invest 7 130.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 603 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1727701
· The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 779.80₽
· invest 7 020.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 021 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1725346
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 743.13₽
· invest 6 790.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 791 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1731328
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 739.32₽
· invest 7 296.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 297 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1740068
· The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 594.94₽
· invest 6 728.65₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 729 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1739902
· The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 14 474.95₽
· invest 6 700.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 470 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1724305
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 392.64₽
· invest 6 886.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 397 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1728631
· The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 366.25₽
· invest 6 833.91₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 022 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1719761
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 353.41₽
· invest 7 438.82₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 732 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162991 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1740107
· The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 14 351.24₽
· invest 7 280.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 037 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
Craft 1739477
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 290.47₽
· invest 6 870.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 556 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.164876
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
