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The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3 268.36₽

Invest 3 771.49₽

Average return 7 039.85₽

ROI +86.7%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 866.40₽ · profit at most −1 826.55₽ (at most -20.6%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 160.00 → 345.60 ₽

Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1435.32 → 3602.65 ₽

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 2176.17 → 4918.14 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 349 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+3 268.36 ₽ +86.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) · 10 260.87 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 349 ₽

1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
6× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
3× MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+2 142.59 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+1 528.37 ₽ +42.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection

+683.34 ₽ +35.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 50%

7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659

Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+569.86 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 93%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%

rare inputs

6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+566.11 ₽ +29.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%

rare inputs

8× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
1× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

160.00 ₽

at 160.00

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1 435.32 ₽

at 239.22

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2 176.17 ₽

at 725.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 771.49 ₽ +3 268.36 (+86.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −969 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

320.00 ₽

at 160.00

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

1 435.32 ₽

at 239.22

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 450.78 ₽

at 725.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 206.10 ₽ +3 135.83 (+97.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −588 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

480.00 ₽

at 160.00

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1 435.32 ₽

at 239.22

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

725.39 ₽

at 725.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 640.71 ₽ +3 003.30 (+113.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

11 800.00 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

5 996.86 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Momentum

Minimal Wear

1 432.32 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

598.80 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

585.95 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 073.84 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 726.72 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 34 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −1 227 ₽ float out of reach rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 237 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164007 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004263 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 242 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164981 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004559 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 319 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165233 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004636 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1732310 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 368.88₽ · invest 3 929.54₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 249 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1733634 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 364.16₽ · invest 4 201.35₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 572 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164425 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004390 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1728928 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 363.93₽ · invest 3 759.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 253 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 439 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 261 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165233 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004636 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1739322 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 355.96₽ · invest 4 093.48₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 261 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164788 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004500 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1740516 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 349.34₽ · invest 4 173.77₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 268 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165418 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004692 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1735248 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 346.72₽ · invest 4 345.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 271 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1742748 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 343.43₽ · invest 3 844.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 274 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165009 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004567 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 382 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 282 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165347 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004671 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 309 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 311 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165418 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004692 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 311 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 457 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1743044 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 286.92₽ · invest 4 163.17₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 742 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165009 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004567 instead of 0.004522
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profit on prices without salesat least −1 337 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165431 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004696 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1733028 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 269.17₽ · invest 3 941.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 428 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1725630 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 266.16₽ · invest 3 991.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 416 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1729772 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 265.56₽ · invest 3 782.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 352 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165559 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004735 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1738768 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 244.88₽ · invest 4 270.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 373 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1741521 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 230.93₽ · invest 3 991.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 458 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1739748 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 225.54₽ · invest 3 895.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 392 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1722016 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 206.66₽ · invest 4 112.31₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 574 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1721190 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 192.14₽ · invest 3 940.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 501 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1709899 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 187.27₽ · invest 4 128.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 430 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1727090 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 158.79₽ · invest 3 830.74₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 459 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)
Craft 1714068 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 157.11₽ · invest 4 107.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 460 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1742022 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 142.60₽ · invest 4 093.48₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 475 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165349 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004671 instead of 0.004522
Craft 1743076 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 096.59₽ · invest 4 093.22₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 645 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163732 instead of 0.164858; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004179 instead of 0.004522

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build