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The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3 036.11₴

Invest 2 013.42₴

Average return 5 049.53₴

ROI +150.8%

Chance of profit 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 886.52₴ · profit at most +163.01₴ (at most +3.3%) · chance of profit at most 40%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 860.63 → 2160.18 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1152.79 → 2726.34 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 908 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+3 036.11 ₴ +150.8% chance of profit 80%

expensive: StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New) · 17 335.16 ₴ · chance 10%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 908 ₴

6× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
4× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+28 264.15 ₴ +95.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 72 971.26 ₴ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 776 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+4 202.60 ₴ +67.9% chance of profit 60%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 18 339.79 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 173 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+2 424.45 ₴ +85.3% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) · 9 008.14 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 816 ₴

1× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
4× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
5× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

Variant 5 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+1 461.10 ₴ +52.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 7 221.53 ₴ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 127 ₴

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1810
9× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0808

Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

+828.14 ₴ +60.1% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) · 3 357.14 ₴ · chance 33%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 202 ₴

1× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

860.63 ₴

at 143.44

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 152.79 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 013.42 ₴ +3 036.11 (+150.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −6 168 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

573.75 ₴

at 143.44

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 152.79 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

4 511.65 ₴

at 2 255.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 238.19 ₴ +233.30 (+3.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Factory New

3 142.67 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

605.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Minimal Wear

3 860.72 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

8 584.70 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

8 304.76 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

6 025.93 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

19 935.44 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 606.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 959.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1740970 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 908.89₴ · invest 2 118.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 832 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1718190 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 821.93₴ · invest 2 498.03₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 417 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1742541 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 774.83₴ · invest 2 429.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 199 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1729040 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 753.54₴ · invest 2 447.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 003 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1724766 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 739.89₴ · invest 2 253.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 941 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1723326 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 621.62₴ · invest 2 341.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 968 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1729861 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 479.54₴ · invest 2 391.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 110 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1731756 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 471.35₴ · invest 2 166.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 167 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1742846 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 361.92₴ · invest 2 370.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 926 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1726802 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 285.10₴ · invest 1 776.34₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 504 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1742707 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 283.28₴ · invest 2 294.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 295 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1736687 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 267.02₴ · invest 2 070.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 391 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074886 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1739432 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 005.23₴ · invest 4 327.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 970 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074375
Craft 1738444 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 990.10₴ · invest 4 260.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 260 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074375

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build