Crafts · The Radiant Collection
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The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1740386 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 439.14₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 865.05₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 304.19₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +37.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 257.20₽ · profit at most −3 953.01₽ (at most -42.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 1443.95 → 3566.56 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2249.12 → 5319.17 ₽
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 171.98 → 371.48 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection
+1 439.14 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 223.57 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 016.83 ₽ +39.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 762.68 ₽ +70.3% chance of profit 83%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 640.74 ₽ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193
Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 614.94 ₽ +40.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) · 11 025.02 ₽ · chance 6.7%
rare inputs
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1 more

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
1 443.95 ₽
at 288.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074525f′ (normalized) 0.111231wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 397 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 219 · from 1 002.20 ₽ (float 0.0700) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
2 249.12 ₽
at 562.28
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003959f′ (normalized) 0.005909wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 340 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 686 · from 1 082.72 ₽ (float 0.0017) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
171.98 ₽
at 171.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074525f′ (normalized) 0.120201wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 67 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 367.22 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 78 · from 1 148.68 ₽ (float 0.0743) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 3 865.05 ₽ +1 439.14 (+37.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.079500, 0.063000, 0.044800 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
6 429.90 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 5591.22 you get 0.070000 sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 204.08 ₽ (you get 5 394.85)) · buy orders: 4085 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 789.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 251.57 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 4 708.63 ₽ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 5 150.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 131.78 ₽ listings: 183
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Minimal Wear
2 763.12 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)net 2402.71 you get 0.079500The Shadow Collection sells 246 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 777.87 ₽ (you get 2 415.53)) · buy orders: 3223 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 209.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 423.00 · lots 81 on CSFloat: from 2 065.22 ₽ listings: 358 on CS.Money: ~ 2 300.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 164.58 ₽ listings: 604
at a loss
G3SG1 | Flux
Factory New
3 800.57 ₽ 3.33%
Steam G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)net 3304.84 you get 0.063000The Shadow Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 709.03 ₽ (you get 2 355.67)) · buy orders: 478 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 462.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 699.94 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 2 741.06 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 2 312.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 380.44 ₽ listings: 41
at a loss
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
2 823.51 ₽ 3.33%
Steam SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 2455.23 you get 0.044800The Shadow Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 608.62 ₽ (you get 2 268.36)) · buy orders: 2114 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 268.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 487.41 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 983.84 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 2 036.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 248.53 ₽ listings: 116
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