Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1740617 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 359.10₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 560.67₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 919.77₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +24.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 13 626.76₽ · profit at most −6 706.99₽ (at most -49.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1012.72 → 2238.11 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 4013.03 → 10233.23 ₽
AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 534.92 → 1155.43 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection
+1 359.10 ₽ +24.4% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 677.81 ₽ +43.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0061
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 4 only The Revolution Collection
+2 317.79 ₽ +38.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 9× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 144.32 ₽ +32.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 801.36 ₽ +27.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) · 9 586.35 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
1 012.72 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074144f′ (normalized) 0.105920wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 163.82 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
×7
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
4 013.03 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074144f′ (normalized) 0.074144wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
AWP | Duality
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
534.92 ₽
at 534.92
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074144f′ (normalized) 0.092680wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 461 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~10, new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 934.40 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs 5 560.67 ₽ +1 359.10 (+24.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.082353, 0.065882 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 95%
  • Losing outcome 5%
in profit
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Head Shot
Minimal Wear
5 283.38 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)net 4594.24 you get 0.082353The Revolution Collection sells 188 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 258.36 ₽ (you get 4 572.48)) · buy orders: 4758 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 876.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 250.00 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 3 833.20 ₽ listings: 308 on CS.Money: ~ 4 109.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 198.10 ₽ listings: 448
in profit
best
M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
10 168.27 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)net 8841.97 you get 0.065882The Revolution Collection sells 48 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 835.87 ₽ (you get 8 552.93)) · buy orders: 8698 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 853.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 610.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 7 323.77 ₽ listings: 249 on CS.Money: ~ 8 042.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 790.61 ₽ listings: 406
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