Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1740704 · ways to build: 3 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +965.36₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 139.03₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 104.39₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 232.42₽ · profit at most −8 128.03₽ (at most -53.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 8 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4586.32 → 11878.57 ₽
P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 863.11 → 1864.32 ₽
G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 689.60 → 1489.54 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection
+965.36 ₽ +15.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 9 250.39 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0777
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1723
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 4 only The Recoil Collection
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 154.04 ₽ +18.6% chance of profit 55%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) · 11 479.04 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 009.55 ₽ +11.7% chance of profit 70%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 11 546.71 ₽ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0777
4 586.32 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077783f′ (normalized) 0.077783wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 151 · from 2 191.99 ₽ (float 0.0777) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0068
863.11 ₽
at 863.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006810f′ (normalized) 0.009729wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 317 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 4 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 233 · from 3 511.98 ₽ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1723
689.60 ₽
at 689.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.172377f′ (normalized) 0.191530wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 45 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 52) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 139.03 ₽ +965.36 (+15.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.082353, 0.082353 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 45%
about break-even
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
in profit
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
9 059.93 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 7878.20 you get 0.082353The Shadow Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 223.88 ₽ (you get 8 020.76)) · buy orders: 1200 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 701.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 444.42 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 7 071.08 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 8 013.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 288.65 ₽ listings: 146
in profit
best
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Minimal Wear
10 637.95 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)net 9250.39 you get 0.082353The Shadow Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 318.77 ₽ (you get 8 972.84)) · buy orders: 900 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 617.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 448.55 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 8 085.27 ₽ listings: 159 on CS.Money: ~ 8 931.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 102.40 ₽ listings: 216
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