Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1740827 · ways to build: 4 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +991.45₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 486.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 478.10₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 314.98₽ · profit at most −7 836.88₽ (at most -51.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2025.44 → 4790.17 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 2866.45 → 7080.13 ₽
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1594.76 → 3444.68 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection
+991.45 ₽ +15.3% chance of profit 55%
expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 4× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection
+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 4 only The Recoil Collection
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection
+1 154.04 ₽ +18.6% chance of profit 55%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) · 11 479.04 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection
+965.36 ₽ +15.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 9 250.39 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0777
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1723

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0759
2 025.44 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075989f′ (normalized) 0.108556wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 855.21 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0759
2 866.45 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075989f′ (normalized) 0.075989wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0052
1 594.76 ₽
at 1 594.76
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005240f′ (normalized) 0.009358wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs 6 486.65 ₽ +991.45 (+15.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.037059, 0.057647 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 45%
about break-even
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
in profit
best
AK-47 | Bloodsport
Factory New
16 707.24 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 14528.03 you get 0.037059The Spectrum Collection sells 50 a week sell now to a buy order: 16 453.05 ₽ (you get 14 307.00)) · buy orders: 2792 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 439.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 736.00 · lots 36 on CSFloat: from 12 646.56 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 13 968.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 485.16 ₽ listings: 366
in profit
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
11 585.93 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 10074.72 you get 0.057647The Spectrum Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 526.50 ₽ (you get 10 023.04)) · buy orders: 1233 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 338.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 239.38 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 8 781.67 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 10 023.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 214.24 ₽ listings: 159
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