The Recoil Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +12 267.16₽

Invest 15 511.90₽

Average return 27 779.06₽

ROI +79.1%

Chance of profit 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 37 436.55₽ · profit at most −9 657.49₽ (at most -25.8%) · chance of profit at most 40%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 5178.66 → 12998.44 ₽

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 10333.24 → 24438.11 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 347 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

+12 267.16 ₽ +79.1% chance of profit 40%

expensive: AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) · 65 552.17 ₽ · chance 20%

profit on prices without salesat least −11 347 ₽

6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
4× M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

Variant 4 only The Recoil Collection

+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%

2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

+1 154.04 ₽ +18.6% chance of profit 55%

expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) · 11 479.04 ₽ · chance 5.0%

1× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
1× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

+991.45 ₽ +15.3% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

4× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 178.66 ₽

at 863.11

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

10 333.24 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 511.90 ₽ +12 267.16 (+79.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −25 718 ₽

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3 452.44 ₽

at 863.11

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

5 166.62 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

×4

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

19 876.20 ₽

at 4 969.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 495.26 ₽ +9 702.24 (+34.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −5 358 ₽

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

2 293.16 ₽

at 573.29

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3 452.44 ₽

at 863.11

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

5 166.62 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 912.22 ₽ +6 448.40 (+59.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −18 532 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

4 315.55 ₽

at 863.11

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

7 749.93 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

×2

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

9 938.10 ₽

at 4 969.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 003.58 ₽ +10 984.70 (+49.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

7 100.73 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

8 866.28 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | AUTOEXEC

Factory New

75 384.99 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol

Factory New

60 394.10 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 516.55 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 856.46 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1732294 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 14 539.37₽ · invest 18 813.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 359 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1735729 · The Huntsman Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 14 190.89₽ · invest 29 856.22₽
profit on prices without salesat least −27 996 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1736549 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 13 576.96₽ · invest 14 655.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −10 037 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164868 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1741509 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 13 011.06₽ · invest 14 349.39₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 295 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1735232 · The Horizon Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 12 589.09₽ · invest 22 382.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 382 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165916 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1718093 · The CS20 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 12 573.00₽ · invest 16 764.22₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 272 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1741204 · The Revolution Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 12 240.00₽ · invest 16 350.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 374 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165916 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1742966 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 11 981.43₽ · invest 26 292.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −26 293 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1723188 · The Clutch Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 11 931.62₽ · invest 16 208.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 236 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164495 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1725618 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 11 852.14₽ · invest 23 240.92₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 835 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167164 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1739735 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 11 336.13₽ · invest 19 719.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −19 720 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167164 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1742732 · The Spectrum Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 11 092.78₽ · invest 19 901.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 521 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163772 instead of 0.165131
Craft 1721173 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 10 908.68₽ · invest 22 900.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 518 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build